Gas could be the most expensive, least reliable path to grid stability


grid stability questioned

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Grid Inertia and Stability underpin synchronous generation, frequency control, and voltage resilience, with virtual inertia, fast governor response, and hydro ramping mitigating oscillations when gas turbines or large generators trip or interconnectors fail.

 

Key Points

Grid inertia and stability show how synchronous assets resist frequency swings and damp oscillations in AC grids.

✅ Synchronous machines and loads collectively stiffen system frequency.

✅ Fast governor, hydro ramps, and virtual inertia arrest deviations.

✅ Excess inertia is costly; smart controls can replace part of it.

 

The discussion on inertia and synchronous generation is rather confused. Inertia is necessary because it provides stability to the grid. “Strength” and “stiffness” are terms that are used to show that lots of rotating inertia is “good’ or even essential to a stable grid. Because it was free it is often assumed that the system needs as much generator inertia as it always had, though some argue for keeping electricity options open to manage reliability during transition.

But inertia is just one way to supply stability and it can be argued that beyond more than a certain minimum level, generator inertia is an expensive and anachronistic way of providing stability.

Stability is required to protect timing circuits, minimise mechanical loads on motors and generators caused by changing speed, prevent overheating of inductive loads like AC motors and most of all to prevent voltage/frequency oscillations after fast changes in load or generation e.g. from a loss of a connection or generator or even start-up of all the hot water services at 10PM.

Inertia is one simple way of providing stability because the rotating mass of the generators absorbs or disburses energy by small changes in speed.

While the inertia of turbines is large, it is only useful as a store of energy if you can use it.  Most of the energy stored in a rotating turbo-generator is unavailable because the energy is 1/2Jω2 where ω is the angular velocity and J the rotary inertia. As the angular velocity is only supposed to vary by 0.15Hz in 50Hz you can only use 0.6% (49.85/50)2 of the inertia in the system to stabilise the load. Even if a 1Hz short term deviation is allowed it is still only 4% of the system inertia.

The key to stability is not so much the inertia itself but the synchronous nature of an AC system which locks all the turbines and loads together at the same frequency, thus inertia is not just that of one generator but all the synchronous generators, the capacitance of the transmission and distribution network and even all the AC motors and loads on the load side. These later contributors are still there, even if some of the generation is no longer synchronous, and recent low-carbon electricity lessons emphasize system-level coordination.

The downside of inertia is that once it is given up it must be replaced. So, if system frequency falls by 1Hz, to recover the frequency a large fraction of the output response from the remaining generators is used just to spin all the generators and loads back up to speed rather than just supply lost power to the grid. In the best case, it will prolong the frequency disturbance. In worst case the extended frequency deviation will trigger protection circuits and more widespread faults.

In a conventional system inertia provides the first 0.1-10 seconds of load disturbance response and it was free. A steam plant is quite good for the next 3-6 seconds after a disturbance because there is a quantity of steam in the steam chest which can be released quickly.

If the lost generation stays off line steam is then limited because it has slow ramping after that first steam dump. Hydro comes up after 20-150 seconds but has excellent stability and very fast ramps, especially in pumped storage hydro configurations where response is rapid. The combination of inertia of water in the penstock and rotary inertia of the generator gives very stable ramping and for large scale power changes, hydro seems to offer the best combination of ramp rate and stability.

Gas turbines respond quite well after 8-30 seconds, then ramp quickly if they don’t stall or oscillate which they are prone to do at low loads. It is clear that “the straw that broke the camel’s back” in the SA blackout was the failure of gas turbine generators at the Quarantine station to respond properly to rapidly increasing demand, a contrast to California shutdowns that raised questions about grid management practices.

However, even if inertia is seen as desirable at the plant level, gas turbine plants have no more inertia per MW than wind and many of them are operated slaved to the largest generator(s) because it is simpler and more efficient, and recent moves like new Ontario gas plants aim to boost capacity.

But if the key large generator(s) are for some reason isolated from the grid, the gas turbines will sag under the increased load and they will have limited mechanism or perhaps, if they are already at full load, even capacity, to respond. So, within fractions of a second their frequency will start to fall just as quickly as a group of wind turbines.

Even if governor response is fast, maximum stable ramp rates are around 5-10% per minute usually starting at less than that (they tend to have S shaped response curves) Gas turbines have another weakness which means that their inertia is of less value to the grid.

If frequency falls the compressors slow down reducing compression ratio and thus power so even more so more of the governor response is needed just to compensate for reduced air flow.

 

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Labrador power flowing through Quebec

Labrador Hydro Open Access could enable non-discriminatory electricity transmission through Quebec, unlocking wheeling rights for Muskrat Falls and Gull Island, boosting green energy exports to Ontario and U.S. markets under interprovincial trade rules.

 

Key Points

Applying open, non-discriminatory transmission rules so Labrador power can wheel through Quebec to U.S. markets.

✅ Aligns with U.S. open access and non-discrimination standards

✅ Enables wheeling rights for Muskrat Falls and Gull Island

✅ Expands export routes to Ontario and Northeast U.S. grids

 

There's growing optimism that hydroelectric power from Labrador may soon be flowing through Quebec and into other markets in Canada and the United States as demand grows.

That was one of the revelations in a new interprovincial free trade agreement that was unveiled Friday.

If such an agreement on electricity transmission were reached, it would open the door to huge markets for Labrador hydroelectric power, including excess power from the controversial Muskrat Falls Project, and possibly end a bitter stalemate that has long soured relations between the two neighbouring provinces. 

"The best-case scenario is we move electricity through Quebec and into markets. It could be Ontario among others. It could be the U.S. It could be anywhere," Ball said Friday.

 

Rules based on principle of open access

The new trade deal sets out specific rules around the transmission of electricity across provincial borders, and are based on open access and non-discrimination rules in the United States.

The Muskrat Falls transmission network will bypass Quebec in moving power to the North American market, but at a considerable cost, though a ratepayer agreement aims to shield consumers. (Jacques Boissinot/Canadian Press)

Those rules allow Quebec to freely export electricity from the Upper Churchill and other power sources into the U.S., and Dwight Ball says this province wants the same rules to apply to power from the Muskrat Falls project, and potential projects such as Gull Island.

As part of the trade talks, Ottawa and other provinces asked that Newfoundland and Labrador and Quebec engage in talks about electricity transmission, including what are known as wheeling rights, and related rate mitigation talks are ongoing. Ball said that will happen.

"I'm not here to pre-judge what the outcome will be. All I'm saying is if there's an opportunity to bring benefit to our province we want to be at that table," said Ball.

"Right now we're seeing support from other provinces. We're seeing support from the federal government. We believe in using the resources that we have to support a national policy on green energy.  And if that leads us into a development in Labrador, so be it. That would be a good thing for our economy. But we have to get at that table first."

 

Deal comes into effect in July

The new, open access rules will come into force if either of the two provinces sign off on them within 36 months of the trade deal coming into effect on July 1.

It's nearly a certainty that the Ball government will endorse such a framework, since the province has long argued for permission to use excess transmission line capacity in Quebec to send Labrador power to other markets.

"You could argue that the U.S. rules would apply right now, but we all know that's not happening in the way we'd like to see it happen," said Ball. "So we're going to get at the table and see if we can get that access more streamlined." 

As part of the trade deal, both Newfoundland and Labrador and Quebec will maintain their monopolies over power production and the right to sell it, which means Labrador power can only be transmitted through Quebec.

 

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Ohio nuclear generators to face more competition with new 955-MW gas plant

Ohio gas-fired generation accelerates as combined-cycle plants join PJM Interconnection, challenging FirstEnergy's Davis-Besse baseload in Lucas County with 869-955 MW capacity and lower costs than nuclear, this summer and a new 2020 project.

 

Key Points

Ohio gas-fired generation is new combined-cycle capacity for PJM, adding 955 MW and competing with nuclear baseload.

✅ 955 MW Lucas County plant approved by Ohio Power Siting Board

✅ 869 MW Oregon Clean Energy Center entered service this summer

✅ PJM says reliability unaffected without FirstEnergy nuclear

 

Nuclear generators already struggling in Ohio will face even more competition from almost 900 MW of gas-fired generation that came online this summer, amid concerns over a growing supply gap in some regions, and another 950 MW plant now in the works.

Both plants will connect to the PJM Integration market, according to the Toledo Blade, and will generate more power than FirstEnergy's nearby Davis-Besse nuclear plant overall.

The Clean Energy Future–Oregon project will cost an estimated $900 million to construct, and is expected to begin operation in 2020. The project was initially approved more than four years ago.

Nuclear plants in Ohio have pressed for subsidies to remain in operation, as their emissions-free power is being pushed off the grid by cheaper natural gas, reflecting a broader debate over the future of struggling nuclear plants across the U.S. In May, FirstEnergy CEO Chuck Jones told the Ohio Senate Public Utilities Committee that its Davis-Besse and Perry nuclear plants are unlikely to successfully compete with low cost gas-fired generation in the wholesale power market.

Proponents of supporting baseload generation like coal and nuclear have pointed to their contributions to the reliability and resiliency of the power system, and some jurisdictions are considering new large-scale nuclear to meet those goals. But FirstEnergy's Ohio nuclear plants are not necessary for system reliability, according to Craig Glazer, vice president of federal government policy at PJM Interconnection and the former chairman of the Public Utilities Commission of Ohio.

The Ohio Power Siting Board last week authorized Clean Energy Future-Oregon LLC to construct a 955 MW gas-fired, combined-cycle power plant in Lucas County.

The plant will be located on a 30-acre parcel of land in Oregon, Ohio, and will interconnect to the regional electric transmission grid via nearby 138 and 345 kV transmission lines.

The project is being developed by CME Energy, which this summer also brought online the Oregon Clean Energy Center, an 869 MW gas-fired power plant at a nearby location, while governments elsewhere weigh new gas plants to boost electricity production.

 

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Alberta power grid operator prepares to accept green energy bids

Alberta Renewable Energy Auction invites bids as AESO adds wind and solar capacity, targeting 5,000 MW by 2030, with 400 MW online by 2019 to replace coal, stabilize prices, and cut greenhouse gas emissions.

 

Key Points

A program to procure wind and solar for Alberta’s grid, replacing coal and scaling to 5,000 MW by 2030.

✅ 400 MW online by 2019 to backfill retiring coal units

✅ Timed additions to avoid price distortion on the grid

✅ Targets 5,000 MW of renewables by 2030

 

The operator of Alberta's electricity grid will start taking bids at the end of this month from companies interested in generating and selling renewable energy in the province.

The provincial government wants to add 5,000 megawatts of renewable electricity, supporting new jobs across the province by 2030.

The renewables, including wind power and solar power, will replace coal-fired power plants, which will be shutting down as part of the province's strategy to lower greenhouse gas emissions.

Energy Minister Marg McCuaig-Boyd announced Friday the first competition will be for 400 megawatts, which is enough to power about 170,000 houses.

"We're known as the energy hub of Canada, and make no mistake, green energy is a big part of that," she said.

Mike Deising with the Alberta Electric System Operator (AESO) says the new green power has to be developed gradually.

The new green power must be developed gradually, says Alberta Electric System Operator’s Mike Deising. (CBC)

"We don't want to put on too much generation because what we're going to see is, if we have too much generation all at once, we're going to drive down the market price and it's going to distort the electricity market that we have," he said.

Deising says from their perspective as the grid operator, they want to make sure the addition of new capacity is timed with when they are losing capacity.

AESO wants the 400 megawatts of new green power including solar generation to go onto the grid by the end of 2019 to replace electricity from coal-fired plants that will start shutting down by late 2020.

 

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Turning seawater into electricity: NB Power's untested idea for Belledune

NB Power Hydrogen-from-Seawater Project explores clean energy R&D with Joi Scientific, targeting zero-emission electricity for Belledune using Bay of Chaleur seawater, hydrogen production, and possible carbon credits within Canada's climate plan.

 

Key Points

An NB Power R&D initiative with Joi Scientific to produce hydrogen from seawater for zero-emission power at Belledune.

✅ Targets coal phase-out by 2030 at Belledune

✅ Evaluates costs, efficiency, and carbon credits

✅ Seawater-to-hydrogen tech via proprietary R&D

 

NB Power is betting $7 million on a promising but untested new way to generate electricity without emitting greenhouse gases: turning seawater from the Bay of Chaleur into energy, a marine approach similar to Nova Scotia's Bay of Fundy tidal tests in recent years.

CEO Gaëtan Thomas talked last month about converting the Belledune generating station to hydrogen power by 2030, after coal is phased out, though some argue planning should be led by an independent planning body to ensure long-term oversight.

But the public utility is tight-lipped so far o

"Unfortunately, it is too early in the process to be discussing details of this research and development project," said NB Power spokesperson Marie-Andrée Bolduc.

Joi Scientific's vice-president of marketing, Vicky Harris, said in an email statement that the company is "involved in multiple research projects, in many different sectors, but, as I am sure you would understand, we are not sharing details of our proprietary research and development work at this time."

On its website, the company calls hydrogen "the universe's most abundant element and the world's cleanest source of energy."

In its collaboration with Florida-based Joi Scientific, a start-up headquartered at the Kennedy Space Centre.

 

What to do with Belledune?

The federal government has set 2030 as the deadline for provinces to phase out coal-powered electricity under its national climate plan, and NB Power has pursued deals to import Quebec power as part of its transition.

NB Power says other options for Belledune include burning natural gas or biomass, and small nuclear reactors have been discussed provincially as well. But those options would still generate some carbon dioxide emissions.

Green Party Leader David Coon said last month that it was "news to me" that hydrogen power could be generated affordably enough to use in a power plant.

University of New Brunswick chemical engineering professor Willy Cook says turning hydrogen into energy is simple, but it's not necessarily cost-effective because the process itself requires a lot of electricity, while Nova Scotia is pursuing more wind and solar to meet its goals.

"You can't get something for nothing," he said. "Using electricity to produce hydrogen to go back to the process to produce electricity--that in itself probably isn't economically viable."

But he said he's not familiar with Joi Scientific's technology and it's possible the company has come up with "a more efficient process."

He also said if NB Power earned carbon credits for reducing emissions, hydrogen technology might become competitive with other energy sources.

"I have faith in the NB Power engineers to come through and do that assessment properly," he said.

 

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Asbestos removal underway at Summerside power plant as upgrades proceed

Summerside Plant Asbestos Removal enables a heating system upgrade to electric furnaces with heat storage bricks, maximizing wind energy use and lowering peak loads; contractor tenders closed, work starts May 1.

 

Key Points

A city effort to remove asbestos so an electric furnace heating upgrade with wind energy heat storage can proceed.

✅ Four electric furnaces with heat storage bricks

✅ Maximizes wind energy, lowers peak load and diesel use

✅ Work starts May 1; about three weeks; no service disruptions

 

The City of Summerside is in the process of removing hazardous asbestos at the Summerside Electric Power Plant building in order to clear the way for replacement of the heating system.

The city is hiring a contractor to do the work and tenders for the project closed Thursday afternoon. 

The heating system is being replaced with four new electric furnaces, which are Heat for Less Now products. The products help maximize wind energy by using bricks to store heat created from wind energy for use during peak demand times, similar to using more electricity for heat initiatives advocated in the N.W.T.

"This program's working so well we wanted to continue with that in the power plant," said Rob Steele, electrical operations supervisor with the City of Summerside. 

Time to replace system

The new system will heat the whole building, as other utilities evaluate options like geothermal power plants to meet targets. 

"Having more of these units with heat storage already placed in them can lower the peak load of Summerside which therefore will help keep our diesel engines from running, aligning with power grid operation changes being considered in Nova Scotia," said Steele. 

Steele said the existing system is beyond life its expectancy and maintenance is getting costly so it's time to replace it, amid calls to reduce biomass electricity in generation portfolios. 

"And unfortunately in 1960 and 1963 asbestos was used on the elbow sections of the piping insulation and of course that must be removed for us to proceed," said Steele.  

Steele said the city doesn't know how much the project will cost yet as the tenders just closed Thursday afternoon. He said the city plans to announce the cost along with the successful bidder who will do the asbestos removal April 6. 

The city said there won't be any interruption of power or services during the upgrades, even as major facilities like the Bruce nuclear reactor undergo refurbishment elsewhere. Work is expected to start May 1 and take about three weeks to finish. 

 

 

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OPG, Ontario First Nation Hdroelectric project comes online

Peter Sutherland Sr. Generating Station delivers 28 MW hydroelectric, renewable energy in Ontario via an Indigenous partnership, on-budget and ahead of schedule, supplying the provincial grid near the Abitibi River at New Post Creek.

 

Key Points

An OPG-Indigenous hydropower plant generating 28 MW in northern Ontario, feeding the provincial grid from New Post Creek.

✅ 28 MW hydropower on Abitibi River at New Post Creek.

✅ OPG and Taykwa Tagamou Nation partnership, on-budget and ahead of schedule.

✅ $300 million project delivers jobs, skills, and long-term revenue to community.

 

Ontario Power Generation, which has also partnered on new nuclear technology with TVA, says a new hydroelectric plant in the northern part of the province is now online, and the First Nation it has partnered with stands to benefit.

In a written release issued Friday, OPG announced the completion of the Peter Sutherland Sr. Generating Station on New Post Creek. The project is a partnership between the provincial power company and Coral Rapids Power, an Indigenous-owned company of the Taykwa Tagamou Nation, near Cochrane.

"This project has gone well due to the relationship we've built on a foundation of respect and trust," Coral Rapids President Wayne Ross was quoted as saying in the OPG release.

"There have been many benefits for our community including good paying jobs, transferable skills and a long term revenue stream."

The generating station, which is located about 80 kilometres north of Smooth Rock Falls, near where New Post Creek meets the Abitibi River, is named after a respected elder of the Taykwa Tagamou Nation. It generates 28 megawatts of power for the provincial grid, according to OPG, complementing modernization at the Niagara Falls powerhouse upgrade as well.

The project was finished ahead of schedule and on-budget, OPG said, as other Ontario initiatives like a pumped storage project advance.

According to the announcement and recent financial results, the project cost around $300 million.

 

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