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Solar Earnings and Cash Flow face scrutiny as U.S. GAAP, net income, operating cash flow, accounts receivable trends reveal potential aggressive accounting, liquidity risk, and collection delays at First Solar, SunPower, and Suntech.
Main Details
Metrics comparing net income with operating cash flow to gauge earnings quality, liquidity, and revenue collection.
- U.S. GAAP reports net income; cash flow shows cash realities
- Cash flow lag vs profit may signal aggressive revenue recognition
- Extended payment terms increase accounts receivable days
U.S.-based First Solar Inc denied it was using aggressive accounting methods to support its earnings growth, despite concerns from some analysts that its cash flows were beginning lag profit levels.
"We report net income and net cash provided by operating activities in accordance with U.S. GAAP," the company said in an email, referring to the Generally Accepted Accounting Principles.
First Solar and other leading solar companies such as China's Suntech Power Holdings Co Ltd and California-based SunPower Corp are expected to report their quarterly earnings in the coming weeks, and First Solar's results outshine rivals in several recent comparisons.
Those figures are expected to be their brightest earnings in a year as Wall Street seeks sunny earnings from solar names, even though a global glut of solar panels and lack of financing has hurt the industry.
Yet some analysts have said cash flow at those companies has lagged behind reported profit in recent quarters, raising the question will profits follow for the sector, which could mean the companies are using aggressive accounting and may not be able to sustain their earnings.
"If that continues, your operating results look good, but your tangible cash flow is declining because you're not collecting on your revenues. That's a formula for disaster for any company," said Gordon Johnson, an analyst with Hapoalim Securities.
First Solar attributed the lag in cash flow for the first and second quarters of 2009 — $101 million and $158 million, respectively — to several factors.
In the first quarter, the company stretched payment terms from 10 days to 45 days, a period more in line with the standard industry practice, it said, and also reflecting longer shipping times to Germany from its Malaysian factory.
That took full effect in the second quarter, putting an extra $93 million owed by customers on the books, the company said.
First Solar also said it shipped more at the end of the second quarter instead of evenly throughout the period and increased its inventory of panels headed for construction, even as solar execs see small signs of recovery in demand.
SunPower's cash flow from operations was $48 million and $21 million below net income for the first two quarters, while cash flow at Suntech was $2 million and $10 million below net income in first and second quarters.
Suntech and SunPower declined to comment.
China's Suntech previously said it plans to announce soon a large investor in the Global Solar Fund, as analysts predict a strong 2010 for solar investors, a customer in which Suntech owns more than a 80-percent stake, and which accounted for more than 30 percent of its first quarter sales.
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