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Alberta Electricity Prices fell as RRO dropped 45% to 6.555 c/kWh, amid deregulated market volatility from TransAlta's Sundance outages, 560 MW offline, swinging MWh benchmarks and raising analysts' power price forecasts.
The Situation Explained
They reflect volatile RRO rates: 6.555 c/kWh in May after generator outages, though analysts raised 2011 MWh forecasts.
- RRO cut 45% to 6.555 c/kWh for May in southern Alberta.
- Previous month averaged 11.885 c/kWh on the RRO.
- Outages: Sundance 1 and 2 (560 MW) offline; TransAlta boiler issues.
- Wholesale swung: $122.45/MWh Feb vs $48.52/MWh Mar; $79.05 Jan.
- Analysts raised 2011 outlook to $66.77/MWh from $45.11.
Mild weather, longer days and more power online will see consumers not locked into long-term contracts pay less for electricity in May, according to Enmax Corp.
The Calgary-owned utility lowered its monthly power price by 45 per cent for customers on its regulated rate option in southern Alberta under a new consumer price cap mechanism in place.
Consumers will pay 6.555 cents per kilowatt hour in May, down from 11.885 cent per kWh the previous month amid a recent rate break in Alberta.
A year ago, the RRO was 6.626 per kWh in May.
Electricity prices in Alberta, Canada’s only fully deregulated power market, have been volatile with periodic price spikes since two major coal-fired generators were taken off-line in December.
The 38-year-old Sundance 1 and 2 units were shut down on boiler issues owner TransAlta Corp. subsequently said were too costly to fix.
Power prices in Alberta averaged $48.52 per MWh in March, down from $122.45 per MWh in February, a period of five-year highs in the region, and $79.05 in January.
The outages of 560 megawatts of power during an extended cold spell in the province pulled up first quarter prices, and prompted analysts to bump up 2011 price forecasts after reports that rates could rise 50% in Alberta.
“An unexpected permanent shift in Alberta’s low cost generation availability has forced us to raise our power price outlook by as much as 50 per cent over the next few years,” said Martin King, with FirstEnergy Capital Corp. early in April.
King upped his 2011 forecast to $66.77 per MWh, from $45.11 per MWh.
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