Europe needs carbonfree power now: report
The report funded by the European Climate Exchange and conducted by consultants and academics says slashing climate warming gas emissions to 80 percent below 1990 levels within 40 years is possible with a nearly zerocarbon power supply and existing technologies.
The short term cost of low or zero carbon electricity policies could be higher than the business as usual path, but over time these differences disappear, the report by consultants McKinsey & Company, Imperial College London, Oxford Economics, and the Energy Research Center of the Netherlands concludes.
I am encouraged by the main message of the European Climate Foundation that substantial decarbonization of the EU power sector is both technically and economically feasible by 2050, European Union Energy Commissioner Guenther Oettinger said at the report launch.
The Roadmap 2050 study calls on European countries to prioritize energy efficiency, support the rapid roll out of a European supergrid and encourage massive investment in low carbon technologies while making a firm commitment to phase out high carbon plants.
Realizing this radical transformation requires fundamental changes to the energy system. This level of reduction is only possible with a nearly zerocarbon power supply, the report says.
Realistically, the 2050 goals will be hard to realize if the transition is not started in earnest within the next five years.
Some experts have questioned the idea of a power sector free of fossil fuels, saying unpredictable solar and wind energy requires backup from coal and gasfired power stations.
But the ECF, which promotes policies aimed at reducing Europes global greenhouse gas emissions, says more grid connections between countries — particularly Spain and France — could minimize the need for back up.
It was assumed that highrenewable energy scenarios would be too unstable to provide sufficient reliability, that highrenewable scenarios would be uneconomic and more costly, and that technology breakthroughs would be required to move Europe to a zerocarbon power sector, Matt Phillips of the European Climate Foundation, which funded the study, said.
Roadmap 2050 has found all of these assertions to be untrue.
Building the necessary infrastructure will require average annual European capital expenditure of about 52 billion euros US $70.74 billion.
Essentially we need to double capital expenditure in the electricity sector, and delaying things will make it a lot more expensive, said the ECFs Tom Brookes.
Despite the sharp rise in capital expenditure, the impact on consumer electricity prices would be small, thanks to the lower operating costs of renewable energy, the report says.
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