Model predicts hurricane power outages

subscribe

U.S. and South Korean scientists say they've created a statistical program that can predict potential power outages in advance of hurricanes and other storms.

"Hurricanes have caused severe damage to electric power systems throughout the world, and electric power is critical to post-hurricane disaster response, as well as to long-term recovery for impacted areas," study co-author Seth Guikema of Johns Hopkins University said. "Effectively predicting and managing power outage risk can dramatically improve the resilience of infrastructure systems and speed up restoration of electric power."

The program is based on data from power outages following Hurricanes Katrina (10,105 outages), Ivan (13,568 outages), Dennis (4,840 outages) and other events in the Gulf Coast region since the mid-1990s, the researchers said.

The researchers said their new modeling approach takes into account more environmental and power system infrastructure factors than previous analyses, providing "more accurate predictions of the number of power outages in each geographic area of a utility company's service area and a better understanding of the response of the (utility company's) system."

The study that included Seung-Ryong Han of Korea University and Steven Quiring of Texas A&M appears in the journal Risk Analysis.

Related News

global electricity demand

Surging electricity demand is putting power systems under strain around the world

LONDON - Global electricity demand surged in 2021, creating strains in major markets, pushing prices to unprecedented levels and driving the power sector’s emissions to a record high. Electricity is central to modern life and clean electricity is pivotal to energy transitions, but in the absence of faster structural change in the sector, rising demand over the next three years could result in additional market volatility and continued high emissions, according an IEA report released today.

Driven by the rapid economic rebound, and more extreme weather conditions than in 2020, including a colder than average winter, last year’s 6% rise in…

READ MORE
indonesia coal

Energy Ministry may lower coal production target as Chinese demand falls

READ MORE

pei wind power

Canadian Gov't and PEI invest in new transmission line to support wind energy production

READ MORE

solar panels

New clean energy investment in developing nations slipped sharply last year: report

READ MORE

hydro quebec exports

Electricity exports to New York from Quebec will happen as early as 2025: Hydro-Quebec

READ MORE