LANL officials see lab's mission evolving

By Santa Fe New Mexican


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"Complex transformation may have been the buzz-phrase of the year at Los Alamos National Laboratory, but actually, the lab has never been a stranger to mission shifts.

In the 1970s, the lab played a large role in energy initiatives for the Carter administration, in the '80s, the lab did a lot of work with the FBI, and now, while the labs historic focus on nuclear nonproliferation and managing the stockpile remains, the push is on once again for change, said Terry Wallace, the lab's principal associate director for science, technology and engineering.

"We are seeing a tremendous pressure, and rightfully so, for a shift in mission space," he said. "But that's really not a bad thing. It's easy to get overly worried about mission swings."

Talk of complex transformation across the Department of Energy and all of its labs and facilities continued throughout 2008, and could well continue to evolve this year. The National Nuclear Security Administration's plan for Los Alamos in that process is to consolidate plutonium research from other DOE facilities to the lab, to add the capability of producing 50 to 80 nuclear weapons cores called pits each year, and overall — in what might seem like a contradiction to the other missions — to reduce the stockpile and the labs' nuclear weapons-based operations.

Key to that change is a building complex called the Chemistry and Metallurgy Research Replacement facility, estimated to cost between $745 million and $975 million when completed, according to the lab's Web site.

When completed, it will house more than just nuclear weapons activities. It will also be used to train nuclear inspectors, to investigate other areas of nuclear science such as reactors or batteries for NASA spacecraft and even to look at nuclear isotopes for medicine, said Joe Martz, nuclear weapons program director.

Scientists will need the facility no matter how much the lab's nuclear weapons operations shrink. And even though the goal is to have fewer nuclear weapons and fewer people monitoring them across the entire DOE complex, the basic abilities of scientists to be able to understand nuclear weapons is something that cannot change, Wallace said.

"Something like plutonium, even though we say we can handle it safely, we still need world-class facilities and scientists to maintain those abilities," he said. "Whether you have 20 or 2,000 warheads, you still have to maintain them."

The lab will likely always have some sort of focus on nuclear weapons science, but the shift to a smaller program started before complex transformation really spread into the limelight by the middle of the year. In late 2007 and early 2008, lab management shrank the staff by about 570 employees, through attrition or voluntary reductions.

And most of those jobs came from nuclear weapons areas, Wallace said, adding he doesn't foresee any more staff reductions in the coming year.

That said, some employees who left nuclear weapons-related jobs also didn't actually leave the lab. They simply shifted to other spots that could also use their skill sets, said Mike Burns, acting associate director for Threat Reduction.

"Threat reduction, we refer to that as national security programs that do not involve our nuclear stockpile, and through 2008, our portfolio grew by 6 percent," Burns said. "I personally think there are a lot of opportunities to grow in our areas of the lab."

Threat reduction, especially in the modern era of terrorism, will probably continue to grow rapidly in coming years. In that area, the lab investigates potential threats using sensors and monitors, by creating simulations on supercomputers and by looking at ways to save energy, among other things, Burns said.

"One area that's really interesting is something called mobility energy," Burns said. "The Department of Defense is the nation's largest user of things like fuel, jet fuel, gasoline. So if the lab can help find ways to make small reductions or changes there, it can create huge benefits for the nation."

Threat reduction also works on surveillance gadgets to help improve situational awareness on battlefields, hopefully saving American lives in the process, he said.

Another big area where some activities are shifting is to energy and power issues and how to improve storage and power grids in the United States, Wallace said. "We're also looking at next generation nuclear power because it can be an important resource that doesn't produce greenhouse gasses," he said.

Supercomputer activities, as well, have grown far beyond nuclear weapons functions at the lab.

Earlier in 2008 the lab started to install Roadrunner, a supercomputer that continues to be the fastest in the world. The speeds available on that computer have opened up entirely new areas of science, Martz said.

"These changes aren't just true at the lab — the nature of science is changing," he said. "We can do things now that seemed impossible 10 years ago."

Computer models of systems like the ribosome, tiny cellular factories that transform instructions from DNA into biological material, could play a huge role in medical science in the not-so-distant future. And computer models of ocean systems and climate can help us better understand how human activities are changing those systems, Martz said.

"In some ways, through these computer systems, science is coalescing," Martz said. "Many disciplines are coming together."

Still, while activities at the lab are shifting and changing, nuclear weapons science remains a large chunk of the budget.

About $650 million of the lab's fiscal 2008 $2.074 billion budget is not tied to nuclear weapons-related activities, Wallace said.

But he thinks it's likely the budget distribution will continue to shift away from nuclear and into more of the emerging science and technology areas.

"Budgets will likely remain about the same, but the buckets that each dollar goes into may change as we transform," Wallace said.

And there's an advantage to keeping people from nuclear operations around and letting them switch to work in non-nuclear weapons-related areas of the lab, he said.

Should the nation need them to go back to nuclear work, those workers can shift back and be up to speed on the science fairly quickly, Wallace said.

Overall, It's hard to say anything definitively about exactly where the lab will grow and shrink and how funding will continue to change. The Obama administration could change many things when it takes over the White House later this month.

No matter what happens, though, the lab seems to be in good shape to handle it and continue to transform with the times, Wallace said.

"We do what the nation asks us to do," he said. "And of course we'll continue to do whatever is needed."

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In Europe, A Push For Electricity To Solve The Climate Dilemma

EU Electrification Strategy 2050 outlines shifting transport, buildings, and industry to clean power, accelerating EV adoption, heat pumps, and direct electrification to meet targets, reduce emissions, and replace fossil fuels with renewables and low-carbon grids.

 

Key Points

EU plan to cut emissions 95% by 2050 by electrifying transport, buildings and industry with clean power.

✅ 60% of final energy from electricity by 2050

✅ EVs dominate transport; up to 63% electric share

✅ Heat pumps electrify buildings; industry to 50% direct

 

The European Union has one of the most ambitious carbon emission reduction goals under the global Paris Agreement on climate change – a 95% reduction by 2050.

It seems that everyone has an idea for how to get there. Some are pushing nuclear energy. Others are pushing for a complete phase-out of fossil fuels and a switch to renewables.

Today the European electricity industry came out with their own plan, amid expectations of greater electricity price volatility in Europe in the coming years. A study published today by Eurelectric, the trade body of the European power sector, concludes that the 2050 goal will not be possible without a major shift to electricity in transport, buildings and industry.

The study finds that for the EU to reach its 95% emissions reduction target, electricity needs to cover at least 60 percent of final energy consumption by 2050. This would require a 1.5 percent year-on-year growth of EU electricity use, with evidence that EVs could raise electricity demand significantly in other markets, while at the same time reducing the EU’s overall energy consumption by 1.3 percent per year.

#google#

Transport is one of the areas where electrification can deliver the most benefit, because an electric car causes far less carbon emissions than a conventional vehicle, with e-mobility emerging as a key driver of electricity demand even if that electricity is generated in a fossil fuel power plant.

In the most ambitious scenario presented by the study, up to 63 percent of total final energy consumption in transport will be electric by 2050, and some analyses suggest that mass adoption of electric cars could occur much sooner, further accelerating progress.

Building have big potential as well, according to the study, with 45 to 63 percent of buildings energy consumption could be electric in 2050 by converting to electric heat pumps. Industrial processes could technically be electrified with up to 50 percent direct electrification in 2050, according to the study. The relative competitiveness of electricity against other carbon-neutral fuels will be the critical driver for this shift, but grid carbon intensity differs across markets, such as where fossil fuels still supply a notable share of generation.

 

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Key Points

Tesla's plan to launch Tesla Electric in the UK, using Powerwall VPPs to retail energy, trade power, and hedge peaks.

✅ Retail energy model built on Powerwall VPP aggregation

✅ Automated buy-sell arbitrage with dynamic pricing

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According to a new job posting, Tesla Electric, Tesla’s new electric utility division, is preparing to expand in the United Kingdom as regions such as California grid planners look to electric vehicles for stability to manage demand.

Late last year, after gaining experience through its virtual power plants (VPPs), including response during California blackouts that pressured the grid, Tesla took things a step further with the launch of “Tesla Electric.”

Instead of reacting to specific “events” and providing services to your local electric utilities through demand response programs, as Tesla Powerwall owners have done in VPPs in California, Tesla Electric is actively and automatically buying and selling electricity for Tesla Powerwall owners – providing a buffer against peak prices.

The company is essentially becoming an energy retailer, aligning with a major future for its energy business envisioned by leadership.

Tesla Electric is currently only available to Powerwall owners in Texas, but the company has plans to expand its products through this new division.

We recently reported on Tesla Electric customers in Texas making as much as $150 a day selling electricity back to the grid through the program.

Now Tesla is looking to expand Tesla Electric to the UK, where grid capacity for rising EV demand remains a key consideration.

The company has listed a new job posting for a role called “Head of Operations, Tesla Electric – Retail Energy.”

This has been in the works for a while now. Tesla used to have a partnership with Octopus Energy in the UK for special electricity rates for its owners, during a period when UK EV inquiries surged amid a fuel supply crisis, but it seemed to be a stepping stone before it would itself become an energy provider in the market.

In 2020, Tesla was officially approved as an electricity retailer in the UK. Now it looks like Tesla is going to use this approval with the launch of Tesla Electric.
 

 

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✅ Time-of-use credits vary by grid demand

✅ $10 minimum use charge plus $14 basic fee

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Right now, solar panel owners who produce more electricity than they need get credits on their bills, equal to whatever they pay for electricity. Under the proposed changes, the credit would be lower and would vary according to electricity demand, said Duke spokesperson Randy Wheeless.

"So in a cold winter morning, like now, you would get more, but maybe in a mild spring day, you would get less," Wheeless said Tuesday. "So, it better reflects what the price of electricity is."

Besides setting rates by time of use, solar owners also would have to pay a minimum of $10 a month for electricity, even if they don't use any from the grid. That's on top of Duke's $14 basic charge. Duke said it needs the extra revenue to pay for grid infrastructure to serve solar customers.

The proposal is the result of an agreement between Duke and solar industry groups — the North Carolina Sustainable Energy Association; the Southern Environmental Law Center, which represented Vote Solar and the Southern Alliance for Clean Energy; solar panel maker Sunrun Inc.; and the Solar Energy Industries Association.

The deal is similar to one approved by regulators in South Carolina last year, while in Nova Scotia a solar charge was delayed after controversy.

Daniel Brookshire of the North Carolina Sustainable Energy Association said he hopes the agreement will help the solar industry.

"We reached an agreement here that we think will provide certainty over the next decade, at least, for those interested in pursuing solar for their homes, and for our members who are solar installers," Brookshire said.

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Key Points

A $900M B.C. initiative by HTEC to build electrolysis plants and 20 hydrogen fueling stations for zero-emission transport.

✅ $900M project with HTEC, CIB, and B.C. government

✅ 3 electrolysis plants plus byproduct liquefaction in North Vancouver

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British Columbia's investment in hydrogen infrastructure aligns with a global trend. As countries strive to achieve ambitious climate goals, hydrogen is increasingly viewed as a promising clean energy source. Hydrogen fuel cells offer several advantages over traditional electric vehicles, and while B.C. leads the country in going electric, they boast longer driving ranges and shorter refueling times, making them particularly attractive for long-distance travel and heavy-duty applications.

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The documents are also an attempt to explain why BC Hydro continues to forecast a surge in electricity demand in the province, as seen in its first call for power in 15 years driven by electrification, even though massive LNG projects proposed by Malaysia’s state owned oil company Petronas and China’s CNOOC Nexen have been cancelled.

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The three projects that continue to ask BC Hydro for electricity are Shell Canada Ltd.’s LNG Canada project, the Woodfibre LNG project and a future expansion of FortisBC’s Tilbury LNG storage facility.

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