Ideal Power Enters Canadian Market with 360kW Order from KACO new energy


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Ideal Power 3-Port PCS enables grid-resilient solar PV and energy storage integration at Leduc #1 with KACO, supporting microgrids, trackers, wind, and cogeneration for efficient, reliable, lower-cost hybrid power in Alberta.

 

Key Points

A grid-resilient 30kW power converter integrating solar PV and batteries via single AC and dual DC ports.

✅ Dual DC plus single AC ports for solar and storage

✅ Boosts efficiency with PV smoothing and firming

✅ Compact, lighter hardware lowers capex and opex

 

A developer of innovative power conversion technologies, has received a 360kW purchase order from KACO new energy (KACO) to supply its 3-port, grid-resilient 30kW Power Conversion Systems (PCS) for the Living Energy Project at the Leduc #1 Energy Discovery Centre in Alberta, Canada. Ideal Power will supply the power conversion systems and KACO will provide the system integration and installation. The Living Energy Project will utilize solar PV with trackers, energy storage, a wind turbine mounted atop a purpose-built oil derrick, and a natural gas-fueled cogeneration unit to capture geothermal energy from an abandoned oil well, aligning with broader green hydrogen microgrid developments underway in North America.

“The Living Energy Project will be an excellent showcase for our power conversion technology enabling energy storage to be integrated directly with a solar tracking system, and it complements emerging virtual power plant programs that aggregate distributed energy resources,” said Dan Brdar, CEO of Ideal Power. “The project will demonstrate the intersection of oilfield services and renewable energy. The mobile solar PV system used at Leduc #1 will utilize a much cleaner and lower cost method to power remote, off-grid facilities than a traditional oil-fired diesel generator.”

The Leduc #1 Energy Discovery Centre is located just outside of Edmonton, Alberta, and is the site of the initial oil well that kick-started the province’s entrance to the oil industry in 1947. The now abandoned well has been converted into an energy museum and 55-acre park focused on the demonstration of environmental technology. The renewables integration and geothermal conversion are part of a plan to turn Leduc #1 into the world’s first carbon neutral oil museum, and align with early vehicle-to-grid pilots that link EVs and the grid.

“For any renewable energy project that incorporates battery storage, Ideal Power offers the perfect power conversion technology because it allows us to deliver a solution that dramatically boosts efficiency and reliability, but with dramatically lower system costs for integrating solar power and energy storage,” said Jurgen Krehnke, CEO for the Americas at KACO new energy. “The installation at Leduc #1 is particularly important because it will be a visual, working representation of the past meeting the future, highlighting our declining dependence on fossil fuels coupled with the ingenuity that promises a clean energy future, including advances in vehicle-to-grid integration across Canada.”

Ideal Power’s grid-resilient PCS is smaller, lighter, and more cost effective than traditional power conversion systems. For integration of solar with energy storage, the embedded power management algorithms deliver PV smoothing and PV firming for grid-tied applications and enable the deployment of high performance PV-based microgrids, while supporting coordination with managed V1G EV charging strategies in emerging programs. PPSA™ also increases round-trip efficiency, which results in lower operational expenditures and combined with the reduction in material, manufacturing, shipping and installation costs greatly improves return on investment for a project owner.

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Canada could be electric, connected and clean — if it chooses

Canada Clean Energy Transition accelerates via carbon pricing, renewables, EV incentives, energy efficiency upgrades, smart grids, interprovincial transmission, and innovation in hydro, wind, solar, and storage to cut emissions and power sustainable growth.

 

Key Points

Canada Clean Energy Transition is a shift to renewables, EVs and efficiency powered by smart policy and innovation.

✅ Carbon pricing and EV incentives accelerate adoption

✅ Grid upgrades, storage, and transmission expand renewables

✅ Industry efficiency and smart tech cut energy waste

 

So, how do we get there?

We're already on our way.

The final weeks of 2016 delivered some progress, as Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and premiers of 11 of the 13 provinces and territories negotiated a new national climate plan. The deal is a game changer. It marks the moment that Canada stopped arguing about whether to tackle climate change and started figuring out how we're going to get there.

We can each be part of the solution by reducing the amount of energy we use, making sure our homes and workplaces are well insulated and choosing energy efficient appliances. When the time comes to upgrade our cars, washing machines and refrigerators, we can take advantage of rebates that cut the cost of electric models. In our homes, we can install smart technology — like automated thermostats — to cut down on energy waste and reduce power bills.

Even industries that use a lot of energy, like mining and manufacturing, could become leaders in sustainability. It would mean investing in energy saving technology, making their operations more efficient and running conveyor belts, robots and other equipment off locally produced renewable electricity.

Meanwhile, laboratories and factories in Ontario, Quebec and British Columbia are making breakthroughs in areas like energy storage, while renewable energy growth in the Prairie Provinces gathers momentum, which will make it possible to access clean power even when the sun isn't shining and the wind isn't blowing.

Liberal leader Justin Trudeau holds a copy of his environmental platform after announcing details of it at Jericho Beach Park in Vancouver, B.C., on Monday June 29, 2015. (Darryl Dyck/Canadian Press)

The scale and speed of Canada's transition to clean energy depends on provincial and federal policies that do things like tax carbon pollution, build interprovincial electricity transmission lines, invest in renewable energy and grid modernization projects that strengthen the system, and increase incentives for electric vehicles. 

Of course, even the best policies won't produce lasting results unless Canadians fight for them and take ownership for our role in the energy transition. Global momentum toward clean energy may be "irreversible," as former U.S. President Barack Obama recently wrote in the journal Science — but it's up to us whether Canada catches that wave or misses out.

Fortunately, clean energy has always been part of Canada's DNA.

We can learn from the past

In remote corners of the newly minted Dominion of Canada, rushing rivers turned the waterwheels that powered the lumber mills that built the places we inhabit today. The first electric lights were switched on in Winnipeg shortly after Confederation. By the turn of the 20th century, hydro power was lighting up towns and cities from coast to coast.  

Our country is home to some of the world's best clean energy resources, and experts note that zero-emissions electricity by 2035 is possible given our strengths, and fully two-thirds of our power is generated from renewable sources like hydro, wind and solar.

Looking to our heritage, we can make clean growth the next chapter in Canada's history

Recent commitments to phase out coal and invest in clean energy infrastructure mean the share of renewable power in Canada's energy mix is poised to grow. The global shift from fossil fuels to clean energy is opening up huge opportunities and Canada's opportunity in the global electricity market is growing as the country has the expertise to deliver solutions around the world.

Looking to our heritage, we can make clean growth the next chapter in Canada's history — building a nation that's electric, connected and on a practical, profitable path to 2035 zero-emission power for households and industry, stronger than ever.

 

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How IRENA Study Will Resolve Philippines’ Electricity Crisis

Philippines Renewable Energy Mini-Grids address rising electricity demand, rolling blackouts, off-grid electrification, and decentralized power in an archipelago, leveraging solar, wind, and hybrid systems to close the generation capacity gap and expand household access.

 

Key Points

Decentralized solar, wind, and hybrid systems powering off-grid areas to relieve shortages and expand access.

✅ Targets 2.3M unelectrified homes with reliable clean power

✅ Mitigates rolling blackouts via modular mini-grid deployments

✅ Supports energy access, resilience, and grid decentralization

 

The reason why IRENA made its study in the Philippines is because of the country’s demand for electricity is on a steady rise while the generating capacity lags behind. To provide households the electricity, the government is constrained to implement rolling blackouts in some regions. By 2030, the demand for electricity is projected to reach 30 million kilowatts as compared to 17 million kilowatts which is its current generating capacity.

One of the country’s biggest conglomerations, San Miguel Corporation is accountable for almost 20% of power output. It has power plants that has a 900,000-kW generation capacity. Another corporation in the energy sector, Aboitiz Power, has augmented its facilities as well to keep up with the demand. As a matter fact, even foreign players such as Tokyo Electric Power and Marubeni, as a result of the gradual privatization of the power industry which started in 2001, have built power plants in the country, a challenge mirrored in other regions where electricity for all demands greater investment, yet the power supply remains short.

And so, the IRENA came up with the study entitled “Accelerating the Deployment of Renewable Energy Mini-Grids for Off-Grid Electrification – A Study on the Philippines” to provide a clearer picture of what the current state of the crisis is and lay out possible solutions. It showed that as of 2016, a record year for renewables worldwide, the Philippines has approximately 2.3 million households without electricity. With only 89.6 percent of household electrification, that leaves about 2.36 million homes either with limited power of four to six hours each day or totally without electricity.

By the end of 2017, the Philippine government will have provided 90% of Philippine households with electricity. It is worth mentioning that in 2014, the National Capital Region together with two other regions had received 90 percent electrification. However, some areas are still unable to access power that’s within or above the national average. IRENA’s study has become a source of valuable information and analysis to the Philippines’ power systems and identified ways on how to surmount the challenges involving power systems decentralization, with renewable energy funding supporting those mini-grids which are either powered in parts or in full by renewable energy resources. This, however, does not discount the fact that providing electricity in every household still is an on-going struggle. Considering that the Philippines is an archipelago, providing enough, dependable, and clean modern energy to the entire country, including the remote and isolated islands is difficult. The onset of renewable energy is a viable and cost-effective option to support the implementation of mini-grids, as shown by Ireland's green electricity targets rising rapidly.

 

 

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A Snapshot of the US Market for Smart Solar Inverters

Smart solar inverters anchor DER communications and control, meeting IEEE 1547 and California Rule 21 for volt/VAR, reactive power, and ride-through, expanding hosting capacity and enabling grid services via secure real-time telemetry and commands.

 

Key Points

Smart solar inverters use IEEE 1547, volt/VAR and reactive power to stabilize circuits and integrate DER safely.

✅ Meet IEEE 1547, Rule 21 ride-through and volt/VAR functions

✅ Support reactive power to manage voltage and hosting capacity

✅ Enable utility communications, telemetry, and grid services

 

Advanced solar inverters could be one of the biggest distributed energy resource communications and control points out there someday. With California now requiring at least early-stage “smart” capabilities from all new solar projects — and a standards road map for next-stage efforts like real-time communications and active controls — this future now has a template.

There are still a lot of unanswered questions about how smart inverters will be used.

That was the consensus at Intersolar this week, where experts discussed the latest developments on the U.S. smart solar inverter front. After years of pilot projects, multi-stakeholder technical working groups, and slow and steady standards development, solar smart inverters are finally starting to hit the market en masse — even if it’s not yet clear just what will be done with them once they’re installed.

“From the technical perspective, the standards are firm,” Roger Salas, distribution engineering manager for Southern California Edison, said. In September of last year, his utility started requiring that all new solar installations come with “Phase 1" advanced inverter functionality, as defined under the state’s Rule 21.

Later this month, it’s going to start requiring “reactive power priority” for these inverters, and in February 2019, it’s going to start requiring that inverters support the communications capabilities described in “Phase 2,” as well as some more advanced “Phase 3” capabilities.

 

Increasing hosting capacity: A win-win for solar and utilities

Each of these phases aligns with a different value proposition for smart inverters. The first phase is largely preventative, aimed at solving the kinds of problems that have forced costly upgrades to how inverters operate in solar-heavy Germany and Hawaii.

The key standard in question in the U.S. is IEEE 1547, which sets the rules for what grid-connected DERs must do to stay safe, such as trip offline when the grid goes down, or avoid overloading local transformers or circuits.

The old version of the standard, however, had a lot of restrictive rules on tripping off during relatively common voltage excursions, which could cause real problems on circuits with a lot of solar dropping off all at once.

Phase 1 implementation of IEEE 1547 is all about removing these barriers, Salas said. “They need to be stable, they need to be connected, they need to be able to support the grid.”

This should increase hosting capacity on circuits that would have otherwise been constrained by these unwelcome behaviors, he said.

 

Reactive power: Where utility and solar imperatives collide

The old versions of IEEE 1547 also didn’t provide rules for how inverters could use one of their more flexible capabilities: the ability to inject or absorb reactive power to mitigate voltage fluctuations, including those that may be caused by the PV itself. The new version opens up this capability, which could allow for an active application of reactive power to further increase hosting capacity, as well as solve other grid edge challenges for utilities.

But where utilities see opportunity, the solar industry sees a threat. Every unit of reactive power comes at the cost of a reduction in the real power output of solar inverters — and almost every solar installation out there is paid based on the real power it produces.

“If you’re tasked to do things that rob your energy sales, that will reduce compensation,” noted Ric O'Connell, executive director of the Oakland, Calif.-based GridLab. “And a lot of systems have third-party owners — the Sunruns, the Teslas — with growing Powerwall fleets — that have contracts, performance guarantees, and they want to get those financed. It’s harder to do that if there’s uncertainty in the future with curtailment."

“That’s the bottleneck right now,” said Daniel Munoz-Alvarez, a GTM Research grid edge analyst. “As we develop markets on the retail end for ...volt/VAR control to be compensated on the grid edge and that is compensated back to the customer, then the customer will be more willing to allow the utility to control their smart inverters or to allow some automation.”

But first, he said, “We need some agreed-upon functions.”

 

The future: Communications, controls and DER integration

The next stage of smart inverter functionality is establishing communications with the utility. After that, utilities will be able use them to monitor key DER data, or issue disconnect and reconnect commands in emergencies, as well as actively orchestrate other utility devices and systems through emerging virtual power plant strategies across their service areas.

This last area is where Salas sees the greatest opportunity to putting mass-market smart solar inverters to use. “If you want to maximize the DERs and what they can do, the need information from the grid. And DERs provide operational and capability information to the utility.”

Inverter makers have already been forced by California to enable the latest IEEE 1547 capabilities into their existing controls systems — but they are clearly embracing the role that their devices can play on the grid as well. Microinverter maker Enphase leveraged its work in Hawaii into a grid services business, seeking to provide data to utilities where they already had a significant number of installations. While Enphase has since scaled back dramatically, its main rival SolarEdge has taken up the same challenge, launching its own grid services arm earlier this summer.

Inverters have been technically capable of doing most of these things for a long time. But utilities and regulators have been waiting for the completion of IEEE 1547 to move forward decisively. Patrick Dalton, senior engineer for Xcel Energy, said his company’s utilities in Colorado and Minnesota are still several years away from mandating advanced inverter capabilities and are waiting for California’s energy transition example in order to choose a path forward.

In the meantime, it’s possible that Xcel's front-of-meter volt/VAR optimization investments in Colorado, including grid edge devices from startup Varentec, could solve many of the issues that have been addressed by smart inverter efforts in Hawaii and California, he noted.

The broader landscape for rolling out smart inverters for solar installations hasn’t changed much, with Hawaii and California still out ahead of the pack, while territories such as Puerto Rico microgrid rules evolve to support resilience. Arizona is the next most important state, with a high penetration of distributed solar, a contentious policy climate surrounding its proper treatment in future years, and a big smart inverter pilot from utility Arizona Public Service to inform stakeholders.

All told, eight separate smart inverter pilots are underway across eight states at present, according to GTM Research: Pacific Gas & Electric and San Diego Gas & Electric in California; APS and Salt River Project in Arizona; Hawaiian Electric in Hawaii; Duke Energy in North Carolina; Con Edison in New York; and a three-state pilot funded by the Department of Energy’s SunShot program and led by the Electric Power Research Institute.

 

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New York Achieves Solar Energy Goals Ahead of Schedule

New York Solar Milestone accelerates renewable energy adoption, meeting targets early with 8,000 MW capacity powering 1.1 million homes, boosting green jobs, community solar, battery storage, and grid reliability under the CLCPA clean energy framework.

 

Key Points

It is New York achieving its solar goal early, powering 1.1M homes and advancing CLCPA renewable targets.

✅ 8,000 MW installed, enough to power about 1.1M homes

✅ CLCPA targets: 70 percent renewables by 2030

✅ Community solar, storage, and green jobs scaling statewide

 

In a remarkable display of commitment to renewable energy, New York has achieved its solar energy targets a year ahead of schedule, marking a significant milestone in the state's clean energy journey, and aligning with a national trend where renewables reached a record 28% in April nationwide. With the addition of solar power capacity capable of powering over a million homes, New York is not just setting the pace for solar adoption but is also establishing itself as a leader in the fight against climate change.

A Commitment to Renewable Energy

New York’s ambitious clean energy agenda is part of a broader effort to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and transition to sustainable energy sources. The state's goal, established under the Climate Leadership and Community Protection Act (CLCPA), aims for 70% of its electricity to come from renewable sources by 2030. With the recent advancements in solar energy, including contracts for 23 renewable projects totaling 2.3 GW, New York is well on its way to achieving that goal, demonstrating that aggressive policy frameworks can lead to tangible results.

The Numbers Speak for Themselves

As of now, New York has successfully installed more than 8,000 megawatts (MW) of solar energy capacity, supported by large-scale energy projects underway across New York that are expanding the grid. This achievement translates to enough electricity to power approximately 1.1 million homes, showcasing the state's investment in harnessing the sun’s power. The rapid expansion of solar installations reflects both increasing consumer interest and supportive policies that facilitate growth in the renewable energy sector.

Economic Benefits and Job Creation

The surge in solar energy capacity has not only environmental implications but also significant economic benefits. The solar industry in New York has become a substantial job creator, employing tens of thousands of individuals across various sectors. From manufacturing solar panels to installation and maintenance, the job opportunities associated with this growth are diverse and vital for local economies.

Moreover, as solar installations increase, the state benefits from reduced electricity costs over time. By investing in renewable energy, New York is paving the way for a more resilient and sustainable energy future, while simultaneously providing economic opportunities for its residents.

Community Engagement and Accessibility

New York's solar success is also tied to its efforts to engage communities and increase access to renewable energy. Initiatives such as community solar programs allow residents who may not have the means or space to install solar panels on their homes to benefit from solar energy. These programs provide an inclusive approach, ensuring that low-income households and underserved communities have access to clean energy solutions.

The state has also implemented various incentives to encourage solar adoption, including tax credits, rebates, and financing options. These efforts not only promote environmental sustainability but also aim to make solar energy more accessible to all New Yorkers, furthering the commitment to equity in the energy transition.

Innovations and Future Prospects

New York's solar achievements are complemented by ongoing innovations in technology and energy storage solutions. The integration of battery storage systems is becoming increasingly important, reflecting growth in solar and storage in the coming years, and allowing for the capture and storage of solar energy for use during non-sunny periods. This technology enhances grid reliability and supports the state’s goal of transitioning to a fully sustainable energy system.

Looking ahead, New York aims to continue this momentum. The state is exploring additional strategies to increase renewable energy capacity, including plans to investigate sites for offshore wind across its coastline, and other clean energy technologies. By diversifying its renewable energy portfolio, New York is positioning itself to meet and even exceed future energy demands while reducing its carbon footprint.

A Model for Other States

New York’s success story serves as a model for other states aiming to enhance their renewable energy capabilities, with its approval of the biggest offshore wind farm underscoring that leadership. The combination of strong policy frameworks, community engagement, and technological innovation can inspire similar initiatives nationwide. As more states look to address climate change, New York’s proactive approach can provide valuable insights into effective strategies for solar energy deployment.

New York’s achievement of its solar energy goals a year ahead of schedule is a testament to the state's unwavering commitment to sustainability and renewable energy. With the capacity to power over a million homes, this milestone not only signifies progress in clean energy adoption but also highlights the potential for economic growth and community engagement. As New York continues on its path toward a greener future, and stays on the road to 100% renewables by mid-century, it sets a powerful example for others to follow, proving that ambitious renewable energy goals can indeed become a reality.

 

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UK Electricity prices hit 10-year high as cheap wind power wanes

UK Electricity Price Surge driven by wholesale gas costs, low wind output, and higher gas-fired generation, as National Grid boosts base load power to meet demand, lifting weekend prices toward decade highs.

 

Key Points

A sharp rise in UK power prices tied to gas spikes, waning wind, and higher reliance on gas-fired generation.

✅ Wholesale gas prices squeeze power, doubling weekend baseload.

✅ Wind generation falls to 3GW, forcing more gas-fired plants.

✅ Tariff hikes signal bill pressure and supplier strain.

 

The UK’s electricity market has followed the lead of surging wholesale gas prices this week to reach weekend highs, with UK peak power prices not seen in a decade across the market.

The power market has avoided the severe volatility which ripped through the gas market this week because strong winds helped to supply ample electricity to meet demand, reflecting recent record wind generation across the UK.

But as freezing winds begin to wane this weekend National Grid will need to use more gas-fired power plants to fill the gap, meaning the cost of generating electricity will surge.

Jamie Stewart, an energy expert at ICIS, said the price for base load power this weekend has already soared to around £80 per megawatt hour, almost double what one would expect to see for a weekend in March.

National Grid will increase its use of expensive gas-fired power by an extra 7GW to make up for low wind power, which is forecast to drop by two-thirds in the days ahead.

Wind speeds helped to protect the electricity system from huge price hikes on the neighbouring gas market on Thursday, by generating as much as 13GW by some estimates.

However, by the end of Friday this output will fall by almost half to 7GW and slump to lows of 3GW by Saturday, Mr Stewart said.

The power price was already higher than usual at £53/MWh last weekend even before the full force of the storms, including Storm Malik wind generation, hit Britain. That was still well above the more typical "mid-40s” price for this time of year, Mr Stewart added.

The twin price spikes across the UK’s energy markets has raised fears of household bill hikes in the months ahead, even as an emergency energy plan is not going ahead.

Late on Thursday Big Six supplier E.on quietly pushed through a dual-fuel tariff increase of 2.6%, to drive the average bill up to £1,153 from 19 April.

Energy supply minnow Bulb also increased prices by £24 a year for its 300,000 customers, blaming rising wholesale costs.

The UK has suffered two gas price shocks this winter, which is the first since the owner of British Gas shuttered the country’s largest gas storage facility at Rough off the Yorkshire coast.

A string of gas supply outages this week cut supplies to the UK just as freezing conditions drove demand for gas-heating a third higher than normal for this time of year.

It was the first time in almost ten years that National Grid was forced to issue a short supply warning to the market that supplies would fall short of demand unless factories agree to use less.

The twelve-year market price highs followed a pre-Christmas spike when the UK’s most important North Sea pipeline shut down at the same time as a deadly explosion at Europe’s most important gas hub, based in the Austrian town of Baumgarten.

 

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After alert on Russian hacking, a renewed focus on protecting U.S. power grid

U.S. Power Grid Cybersecurity combats DHS-FBI flagged threats to energy infrastructure, with PJM Interconnection using ICS/SCADA segmentation, phishing defenses, incident response, and resilience exercises against Russia-linked attacks and pipeline intrusions.

 

Key Points

Strategies, controls, and training that protect U.S. electric infrastructure from cyber threats and disruptions.

✅ ICS/SCADA network segmentation and zero-trust architecture

✅ Employee phishing drills and incident response playbooks

✅ DOE-led grid exercises and threat intelligence sharing

 

The joint alert from the FBI and Department of Homeland Security last month warning that Russia was hacking into critical U.S. energy infrastructure, as outlined in six essential reads on Russian hacks from recent coverage, came as no surprise to the nation’s largest grid operator, PJM Interconnection.

“You will never stop people from trying to get into your systems. That isn’t even something we try to do.” said PJM Chief Information Officer, Tom O’Brien. “People will always try to get into your systems. The question is, what controls do you have to not allow them to penetrate? And how do you respond in the event they actually do get into your system?”

PJM is the regional transmission organization for 65 million people, covering 13 states, including Pennsylvania, and Washington D.C.

On a rainy day in early April, about 10 people were working inside PJM’s main control center, outside Philadelphia, closely monitoring floor-to-ceiling digital displays showing real-time information from the electric power sector throughout PJM’s territory in the mid-Atlantic and parts of the midwest, amid reports that hackers accessed control rooms at U.S. utilities.

#google#

Donnie Bielak, a reliability engineering manager, was overseeing things from his office, perched one floor up.

“This is a very large, orchestrated effort that goes unnoticed most of the time,” Bielak said. “That’s a good thing.”

But the industry certainly did take notice in late 2015 and early 2016, when hackers successfully disrupted power to the Ukrainian grid. The outages lasted a few hours and affected about 225,000 customers. It was the first publicly-known case of a cyber attack causing major disruptions to a power grid. It was widely blamed on Russia.

One of the many lessons of the Ukraine attacks was a reminder to people who work on critical infrastructure to keep an eye out for odd communications.

“A very large percentage of entry points to attacks are coming through emails,” O’Brien said. “That’s why PJM, as well as many others, have aggressive phishing campaigns. We’re training our employees.”

O’Brien doesn’t want to get into specifics about how PJM deals with cyber threats. But one common way to limit exposure is by having separate systems: For example, industrial controls in a power plant are not connected to corporate business networks, a separation underscored after breaches at U.S. power plants prompted reviews across the sector.

Since 2011, North American grid operators and government agencies have also done large, security exercises every two years. Thousands of people practice how they’d respond to a coordinated physical or cyber event, including rising substation attacks that highlight resilience gaps.

So far, nothing like that has happened in the U.S. It’s possible, but not likely, according to Robert M. Lee, a former military intelligence analyst, who runs the industrial cybersecurity firm Dragos.

“The more complex the system, the harder it is to have a scalable attack,” said Lee, who co-authored a report analyzing the Ukraine attacks. “If you wanted to take out a power generation station– that isn’t the most complex thing. Let’s say you cause an hour of outage. But now you want to cause two months of outages? That’s an exponential increase in effort required.”

For example, he said, it would very difficult for hackers to knock out power to the entire east coast for a long time. But briefly disrupting a major city is easier. That’s the sort of thing that keeps him up at night.

“I worry about an adversary getting into, maybe, Washington D.C.’s portion of the grid, taking down power for 30 minutes,” he said.

The Department of Energy is creating a new office focused on cybersecurity and emergency response, following the U.S. government’s condemnation of power grid hacking by Russia.

Deterrence may be one reason why there has not yet been a major attack on the U.S. grid, said John MacWilliams, a former senior DOE official who’s now a fellow at Columbia University’s Center on Global Energy Policy.

“That’s obviously an act of war,” he said. “We have the capability of responding either through cyber mechanisms or kinetic military.”

In the meantime, small-scale incidents keep happening.

This spring, another cyber attack targeted natural gas pipelines. Four companies shut down their computer systems, just in case, but they say no service was disrupted.

 

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