Wind plans generate disagreement

By Rochester Business Journal


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As the New York Power Authority prepares to announce a developer for its proposed offshore wind project somewhere in Lake Ontario or Lake Erie, the debate continues over the viability and visibility of wind turbines on land and water.

NYPA representatives have been reviewing five proposals over the last 10 months, and are tight-lipped about the process. President and CEO Richard Kessel has declined to comment on the status of the project, which has been condemned by governments in Monroe and most New York counties along the shores of the two lakes.

"It's really sad that the lake counties in New York have said no to NYPA for the exploration," says Kevin Schulte, co-founder and CEO of Sustainable Energy Developments Inc. in Ontario, Wayne County.

"What it says to me is they don't even want to understand what that opportunity could be. NYPA doesn't understand what the economics will be, or what those projects are even going to look like."

Monroe and Wayne counties in the Rochester area have passed resolutions against the placement of wind turbines off their shores. Niagara, Erie and Chautauqua counties in Western New York have done the same, as have Oswego and Jefferson counties on the east end of Lake Ontario.

Orleans and Cayuga counties have yet to publicly state their position.

In a statement, NYPA said it respects legislators' views but is keeping options open as it decides where to locate the turbines.

Schulte's company has developed 30 residential wind turbines in New York that generate at least 10 kilowatts of electricity. It has projects — ranging from 50 kilowatts to 2 megawatts — from Delaware to New Hampshire, all of which directly power facilities, he says.

Sustainable Energy Developments will not be involved in the NYPA project, whose scale will be 120 to 500 megawatts, NYPA officials say.

"Some are five or 10 years away from ever being built," Schulte says. "I just think it's sad that we're not even willing to explore that opportunity to make sure we understand whether or not there's an economic opportunity for the communities along the lake shore.

"I would've thought the communities on the lake shores would be more progressive. It's not as though our economy in these parts is growing at an all-time rate or anything."

Some 48 businesses from the Rochester area are among 368 registered on the power authority website to be part of the project. O'Connell Electric Co. Inc. in Victor is one of them.

"When that thing came out, we did discuss it with some of these developers," O'Connell CEO Victor Salerno says.

"Everybody was all upset about putting them up off of Monroe County. I mean, they're not going to go there. There's supposedly a site on Lake Erie that they may pursue. There again, these are all rumors. You can't get anything straight out of them."

Salerno thinks the turbine project is likely to wind up on Galloo Island, on the eastern end of Lake Ontario near Sackets Harbor, rather than in the water.

"There is a site that makes all the sense in the world," he says. "It's an uninhabited island. But it's an island. Turbine placement is not in the water, but you can probably build it for 50 percent less. It makes too much sense, so I still imagine that will happen."

Galloo Island already is of interest to Upstate New York Power Corp. in suburban Buffalo, which is seeking governmental and regulatory approvals for up to 90 turbines generating 269 megawatts of power, documents filed with the state Department of Environmental Conservation state.

"It's like nine miles into the lake," Salerno says. "It is a perfect spot. The wind screams down the lake with nothing in the way. It's probably one of the best wind usages in the country.

"The jobs are desperately needed there," he adds. "I'm guessing there would be $500 million or $600 million private contracts. You'd think they'd be all over it. This power authority has been a big mystery all along. Everything's been done in secret with them. I think it will happen, but it should've happened already. It's too logical."

The task of siting wind energy projects has become a science, Salerno says.

"They know exactly what to expect, based on historical data," he says. "They don't just plop it anywhere. You're not going to put them in residential areas. They have to be within certain distances and all that stuff.

"Then you have the aesthetics. I mean, they are huge. They're 40-story buildings."

O'Connell has been part of 12 large-scale wind energy projects, Salerno says, developing substations, transmission lines and tower wiring.

Among them are the $40 million conversion of an abandoned Bethlehem Steel Corp. plant in Lackawanna to the Steel Winds Urban Wind Farm and the $200 million Bliss Wind Farm in Wyoming County.

"We're bidding on one right now that I think we're going to get," Salerno says. "It's south of Rochester, not in Monroe County. And I think we're going to put an addition on the one we built at Steel Winds. They're going to put maybe a half dozen more towers there. But there are a lot of them pending in the area. They will happen."

Wind power projects provide a boost to the local economy, Salerno says.

"There's the cost to build them, and there's all kinds of labor that goes into it," he says. "O'Connell's is uniquely positioned because we have a power group. We do the line work, and no one locally does that other than ourselves. We have competition, but it's out of the area.

"We've done over a dozen of the big ones, and we're trying to help some of these smaller companies with the small wind. That'll come. It's happening. As oil keeps going up, that makes the payback quicker."

O'Connell did the electrical work for the 125-megawatt Cohocton Wind farm south of Naples in Steuben County. The 2008 project developed by First Wind, an independent wind energy company based in Boston, included 50 turbines generating 2.5 megawatts each.

"You can actually see it from Canandaigua Lake," Salerno says. "We have a place on the lake and, when it's a clear day, we can see about nine of the towers. They're kind of intriguing, but they're big."

The town of Cohocton receives annual payments of some $750,000 as part of its 20-year host agreement with First Wind and from a payment-in-lieu-of-taxes agreement through the Steuben County Industrial Development Agency, Supervisor Jack Zigenfus says.

Cohocton decided to take larger annual payments early to pay off substantial debt, rather than equal payments over 20 years, the 10-year supervisor says.

"The town had a lot of debt," Zigenfus says. "It was not in good financial shape at all. By taking the larger amount of money up front, we were able to pay off all the town's debt.

"It also allowed us to purchase some very expensive highway equipment. And we have some healthy reserves."

The town tax rate was reduced by 60 percent over two years and is now in the range of $2.85 per thousand, he says.

There have been virtually no complaints about the visual impact or noise coming from the turbines, Zigenfus says.

"Beauty is in the eye of the beholder," he says. "Some people don't like the view. Some people don't like the inconveniences of the noise. There are some issues with noise, but these are few and far between. We receive almost no complaints anymore."

A 16-turbine wind farm is proposed for neighboring Prattsburgh, but town officials are waging a legal battle against the developer, Ecogen LLC, over regulatory issues. A ruling last month by state Supreme Court judge John Ark gives Ecogen and the town five months to reach agreement on plans for road use.

"It's not really a case of being for or against," Prattsburgh supervisor Albert Wordingham says. "Regardless of what industry it is-whether it's wind towers or a dump or tire-shredding-they have to be sited properly.

"That's one of the major problems here: the proximity to people's homes. It's inadequate. It's not how I feel about it, but what the world-Europe, in particular-has learned over the years about setbacks and safety issues and shadow flicker."

Shadow flicker occurs when certain conditions cause rotating turbine blades to cast lengthy shadows.

Wordingham has no issues with wind farms, he says, as long as the setbacks adequately ensure the health and safety of residents.

"There are basically no rules," he says. "It's a free-for-all. The rules are woefully inadequate. For whatever reason, most of the lead agents that do the state environmental quality review process and the findings statements are not paying attention to problems and issues in the world.

"Our basic issue here is the setbacks. You can't displace the people that live here to do a project just because it's convenient. It has to be done properly."

Schulte of Sustainable Energy Development thinks wind energy opponents overshadow those in favor of the alternative resource.

"I don't think New York is unique," he says. "We work all across the Northeast. You have a rather vocal minority that opposes a project and, unfortunately, a quiet majority that's very supportive of wind power."

New York's regulatory environment does make it difficult for large wind projects, Schulte adds.

"That probably has slowed projects down more than the un-silent minority," he says.

SED doubled its business in 2010, Schulte says, and sales for 2011 are at an all-time high.

"We're certainly seeing a pretty steep growth curve at this point," he says.

"For the first time in the nine years that SED has been doing business here, I can look at these types of projects in New York state and see real positive economic benefit for people that own a windy property and want to take advantage of wind power."

Salerno says wind power is part of the long-term solution to the spiraling cost of oil.

"If I owned a nice home on Lake Ontario, in Webster or Charlotte, I wouldn't worry about wind towers going there," he says. "I don't think it's going to happen. But if you site them in the right spots, it is part of the solution."

Adds Salerno: "If you want your lights on, if you want to run your computers, if you want to run your air conditioning, guess what? You need to generate electricity some way. I don't think we want to go back into the dark ages."

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Hydro One delivery rates go up

Hydro One Rate Hike reflects Ontario Energy Board approval for higher delivery charges, impacting seasonal customers more than residential classes, funding infrastructure upgrades like wood pole and transformer replacements across Ontario's medium-density service areas.

 

Key Points

The Hydro One rate hike is an OEB-approved delivery charge increase to fund upgrades, with impacts on seasonal users.

✅ OEB-approved delivery rate increases retroactive to 2018

✅ Seasonal customers see larger monthly bill impacts than residential

✅ Funds pole, transformer replacements and tree trimming work

 

Hydro One seasonal customers will face bigger increases in their bills than the utility's residential customers as a result of an Ontario Energy Board approval of a rate hike, a topic drawing attention from a utilities watchdog in other provinces as well.

Hydro One received permission to increase its delivery charge, as large projects like the Meaford hydro generation proposal are considered across Ontario, retroactive to last year.

It says it needs the money to maintain and upgrade its infrastructure, including efforts to adapt to climate change, much of which was installed in the 1950s.

The utility is notifying customers that new statements reflect higher delivery rates which were not charged in 2018 and the first half of this year, due to delay in receiving the OEB's permission, similar to delays that can follow an energy board recommendation in other jurisdictions.

The amount that customers' bills will increase by depends not only on how much electricity they use, but also on which rate class they belong to, as well as policy decisions affecting remote connections such as the First Nations electricity line in northern Ontario.

For seasonal customers such as summer cottage owners, the impact on a typical user's bill will be 2.9 per cent more per month for 2018, and 1.7 per cent per month for 2019.

There will be further increases of 1.0 per cent, 1.4 per cent and 1.1 per cent per month in 2020, 2021 and 2022 respectively. 

Typical residential customers will experience smaller increases or rate freezes over the same period.

In the residential medium density class, the rate changes are a 2.0 per cent increase for last year, a decrease of 0.5 per cent this year, and an increase of 0.5 per cent in 2021. There will be no increases in 2020 and 2022.

 

Seasonal Rate Class — Estimated bill impact per month

2018 - 2.9 %

2019 - 1.7%

2020 - 1.0%

2021 - 1.4%

2022 - 1.1%

 

Residential Medium Density Rate Class — Estimated bill impact per month

2018 - 2.0%

2019 - -0.5% decrease

2020 - 0.0%

2021 - 0.5%

2022 - 0.0%

A Hydro One spokesperson told tbnewswatch.com that over the next three years, the utility's upgrading plan includes reliability investments such as replacing more than 24,000 wood poles across the province as well as numerous transformers.

In the Thunder Bay area, the spokesperson said, some of the revenue generated by the higher delivery rates will cover the cost of replacing more than 180 poles and trimming hazardous trees around 3,200 kilometres of overhead power lines while sharing electrical safety tips with customers.

 

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America Going Electric: Dollars And Sense

California Net Zero Grid Investment will fuel electrification, renewable energy buildout, EV adoption, and grid modernization, boosting utilities, solar, and storage, while policy, IRA incentives, and transmission upgrades drive reliability and long-term rate base growth.

 

Key Points

Funding to electrify sectors and modernize the grid, scaling renewables, EVs, and storage to meet 2045 net zero goals.

✅ $370B over 22 years to meet 2045 net zero target

✅ Utilities lead gains via grid modernization and rate base growth

✅ EVs, solar, storage scale; IRA credits offset costs

 

$370 billion: That’s the investment Edison International CEO Pedro Pizarro says is needed for California’s power grid to meet the state’s “net zero” goal for CO2 emissions by 2045.

Getting there will require replacing fossil fuels with electricity in transportation, HVAC systems for buildings and industrial processes. Combined with population growth and data demand potentially augmented by artificial intelligence, that adds up to an 82 percent increase in electricity demand over 22 years, or 3 percent annually, and a potential looming shortage if buildout lags.

California’s plans also call for phasing out fossil fuel generation in the state, despite ongoing dependence on fossil power during peaks. And presumably, its last nuclear plant—PG&E Corp’s (PCG) Diablo Canyon—will be eventually be shuttered as well. So getting there also means trebling the state’s renewable energy generation and doubling usage of rooftop solar.

Assuming this investment is made, it’s relatively easy to put together a list of beneficiaries. Electric vehicles hit 20 percent market share in the state in Q2, even as pandemic-era demand shifts complicate load forecasting. And while competition from manufacturers has increased, leading manufacturers like Tesla TSLA -3% Inc (TSLA) can look forward to rising sales for some time—though that’s more than priced in for Elon Musk’s company at 65 times expected next 12 months earnings.

In the past year, California regulators have dialed back net metering through pricing changes affecting compensation, a subsidy previously paying rooftop solar owners premium prices for power sold back to the grid. That’s hit share prices of SunPower Corp (SPWR) and Sunrun Inc (RUN) quite hard, by further undermining business plans yet to demonstrate consistent profitability.

Nonetheless, these companies too can expect robust sales growth, as global prices for solar components drop and Inflation Reduction Act tax credits at least somewhat offset higher interest rates. And the combination of IRA tax credits and U.S. tariff walls will continue to boost sales at solar manufacturers like JinkoSolar Holding (JKS).

The surest, biggest beneficiaries of California’s drive to Net Zero are the utilities, reflecting broader utility trends in grid modernization, with investment increasing earnings and dividends. And as the state’s largest pure electric company, Edison has the clearest path.

Edison is currently requesting California regulators OK recovery over a 30-year period of $2.4 billion in losses related to 2017 wildfires. Assuming a amicable decision by early next year, management can then turn its attention to upgrading the grid. That investment is expected to generate long-term rate base growth of 8 percent at year, fueling 5 to 7 percent annual earnings growth through 2028 with commensurate dividend increases.

That’s a strong value proposition Edison stock, with trades at just 14 times expected next 12 months earnings. The yield of roughly 4.4 percent at current prices was increased 5.4 percent this year and is headed for a similar boost in December.

When California deregulated electricity in 1996, it required utilities with rare exceptions to divest their power generation. As a result, Edison’s growth opportunity is 100 percent upgrading its transmission and distribution grid. And its projects can typically be proposed, sited, permitted and built in less than a year, limiting risk of cost overruns to ensure regulatory approval and strong investment returns.

Edison’s investment plan is also pretty much immune to an unlikely backtracking on Net Zero goals by the state. And the company has a cost argument as well: Dr Pizarro cites U.S. Department of Energy and Department of Transportation data to project inflation-adjusted savings of 40 percent in California’s total customer energy bills from full electrification.

There’s even a reason to believe 40 percent savings will prove conservative. Mainly, gasoline currently accounts for a bit more than half energy expenditures. And after a more than 10-year global oil and gas investment drought, supplies are likely get tighter and prices possibly much higher in coming years.

Of course, those savings will only show up after significant investment is made. At this point, no major utility system in the world runs on 100 percent renewable energy, and California’s blackout politics underscore how reliability concerns shape deployment. And the magnitude of storage technology needed to overcome intermittency in solar and wind generation is not currently available let alone affordable, though both cost and efficiency are advancing.

Taking EVs from 20 to 100 percent of California’s new vehicle sales calls for a similar leap in efficiency and cost, even with generous federal and state subsidy. And while technology to fully electrify buildings and homes is there, economically retrofitting statewide is almost certainly going to be a slog.

At the end of the day, political will is likely to be as important as future technological advance for how much of Pizarro’s $370 billion actually gets spent. And the same will be true across the U.S., with state governments and regulators still by and large calling the shots for how electricity gets generated, transmitted and distributed—as well as who pays for it and how much, even as California’s exported policies influence Western markets.

Ironically, the one state where investors don’t need to worry about renewable energy’s prospects is one of the currently reddest politically. That’s Florida, where NextEra Energy NEE +2.8% (NEE) and other utilities can dramatically cut costs to customers and boost reliability by deploying solar and energy storage.

You won’t hear management asserting it can run the Sunshine State on 100 percent renewable energy, as utilities and regulators do in some of the bluer parts of the country. But by demonstrating the cost and reliability argument for solar deployment, NextEra is also making the case why its stock is America’s highest percentage bet on renewables’ growth—particularly at a time when all things energy are unfortunately becoming increasingly, intensely political.

 

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Ontario faces growing electricity supply gap, study finds

Ontario Electricity Capacity Gap threatens reliability as IESO forecasts shortfalls from the Pickering shutdown and rapid electrification, requiring new low-emission nuclear generation to meet net-zero targets, maintain baseload, and stabilize the grid.

 

Key Points

Expected 2030 shortfalls from Pickering closure and electrification, requiring new low-emission nuclear to meet net-zero.

✅ IESO projects a 3.6-9.5 GW capacity gap by 2030

✅ Pickering shutdown removes baseload, stressing reliability

✅ New low-emission nuclear needed to meet net-zero targets

 

Ontario faces an electricity supply shortage and reliability risks in the next four to eight years and will not meet net-zero objectives without building new low-emission, nuclear generation starting as soon as possible, according to a report released yesterday by the Power Workers' Union (PWU). The capacity needed to fill the expected supply gap will be equivalent to doubling the province's planned nuclear fleet in eight years.

The planned closure of the Pickering nuclear power plant in 2025 and the increase in demand from electrification of the economy are the drivers behind a capacity gap in 2030 of at least 3.6 GW which could widen to as much as 9.5 GW, Electrification Pathways for Ontario to Reduce Emissions, finds. Ontario's Independent Electricity System Operator (IESO) has since 2013 been forecasting a significant gap in the province's electricity supply due the closure of Pickering, but has been underestimating the impact of electrification, the report says.

In addition, the electrification of buildings, transport and industry sectors that will be needed to achieve goals of net-zero emissions by 2050 that being set by the federal government and civil society will see the province's electricity demand increase by at least 130% over current planning forecasts, and potentially by over 190%. Leveraging electricity, natural gas and hydrogen synergies can reduce supply needs, but 55 GW of new electricity capacity, including new large-scale nuclear plants, will still be needed by 2050 - four times Ontario's current nuclear and hydro assets - the report finds.

These findings underscore the urgent need for a paradigm shift in Ontario's electricity planning and procurement process, the authors say, adding that immediate action is needed both to mitigate the system reliability risks and enable the significant societal benefits needed to pursue net-zero objectives. Planning for procurement to replace Pickering's capacity, or to pursue life extension options, must begin as soon as possible.

"Policymakers around the world realise climate change can't be tackled without nuclear. Ontario's nuclear fleet has delivered emissions reductions for over 50 years," PWU President Jeff Parnell said. "In fact, without building new nuclear units, Ontario will miss its emission reduction targets and carbon emissions from electricity generation will rise dramatically, as explored in why Ontario's power could get dirtier today."

"This report clearly shows that Ontario cannot sustain the low-carbon status of its hydro and nuclear-based electricity system, decarbonise its economy and meet its carbon reduction targets without new nuclear or continued operation at Pickering in the near term. Most disturbing is the fact that we are already well behind and needed to start planning for this capacity yesterday," he said.

The six operating Candu reactors at Ontario Power Generation's Pickering plant have been kept in operation to provide baseload electricity during the refurbishment of units at the Darlington and Bruce plants. Currently, the company plans to shut down Pickering units 1 and 4 in 2024 and units 5 to 8 in 2025, even as Ontario moves to refurbish Pickering B to extend life.

 

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Britons could save on soaring bills as ministers plan to end link between gas and electricity prices

UK Electricity-Gas Price Decoupling aims to reform wholesale electricity pricing under the Energy Security Bill, shielding households from gas price spikes, supporting renewables, and easing the cost-of-living crisis through market redesign and transparent tariffs.

 

Key Points

Policy to decouple power prices from gas via the Energy Security Bill, stabilizing bills and reflecting renewables

✅ Breaks gas-to-power pricing link to cut electricity costs

✅ Reduces volatility; shields households from global gas shocks

✅ Highlights benefits of renewables and market transparency

 

Britons could be handed relief on rocketing household bills under Government plans to sever the link between the prices of gas and electricity, including proposals to restrict energy prices in the market, it has emerged.

Ministers are set to bring forward new laws under the Energy Security Bill to overhaul the UK's energy market in the face of the current cost-of-living crisis.

They have promised to provide greater protection for Britons against global fluctuations in energy prices, through a price cap on bills among other measures.

The current worldwide crisis has been exacerbated by the Ukraine war, which has sent gas prices spiralling higher.

Under the current make-up of Britain's energy market, soaring natural gas prices have had a knock-on effect on electricity costs.

But it has now been reported the new legislation will seek to prevent future shocks in the global gas market having a similar impact on electricity prices.

Yet the overhaul might not come in time to ease high winter energy costs for households ahead of this winter.

According to The Times, Business Secretary Kwasi Kwarteng will outline proposals for reforms in the coming weeks.

These will then form part of the Energy Security Bill to be introduced in the autumn, with officials anticipating a decrease in energy bills by April.

The newspaper said the plans will end the current system under which the wholesale cost of gas effectively determines the price of electricity for households.

Although more than a quarter of Britain's electricity comes from renewable sources, under current market rules it is the most expensive megawatt needed to meet demand that determines the price for all electricity generation.

This means that soaring gas prices have driven up all electricity costs in recent months, even though only around 40% of UK electricity comes from gas power stations.

Energy experts have compared the current market to train passengers having to pay the peak-period price for every journey they make.

One Government source told The Times: 'In the past it didn’t really matter because the price of gas was reasonably stable.

'Now it seems completely crazy that the price of electricity is based on the price of gas when a large amount of our generation is from renewables.'

It was also claimed ministers hope the reforms will make the market more transparent and emphasise to consumers the benefits of decarbonisation, amid an ongoing industry debate over free electricity for consumers.

A Government spokesperson said: 'The high global gas prices and linked high electricity prices that we are currently facing have given added urgency to the need to consider electricity market reform.

 

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Integrating AI Data Centers into Canada's Electricity Grids

Canada AI Data Center Grid Integration aligns AI demand with renewable energy, energy storage, and grid reliability. It emphasizes transmission upgrades, liquid cooling efficiency, and policy incentives to balance economic growth with sustainable power.

 

Key Points

Linking AI data centers to Canada's grid with renewables, storage, and efficiency to ensure reliable, sustainable power.

✅ Diversify supply with wind, solar, hydro, and firm low-carbon resources

✅ Deploy grid-scale batteries to balance peaks and enhance reliability

✅ Upgrade transmission, distribution, and adopt liquid cooling efficiency

 

Artificial intelligence (AI) is revolutionizing various sectors, driving demand for data centers that support AI applications. In Canada, this surge in data center development presents both economic opportunities and challenges for the electricity grid, where utilities using AI to adapt to evolving demand dynamics. Integrating AI-focused data centers into Canada's electricity infrastructure requires strategic planning to balance economic growth with sustainable energy practices.​

Economic and Technological Incentives

Canada has been at the forefront of AI research for over three decades, establishing itself as a global leader in the field. The federal government has invested significantly in AI initiatives, with over $2 billion allocated in 2024 to maintain Canada's competitive edge and to align with a net-zero grid by 2050 target nationwide. Provincial governments are also actively courting data center investments, recognizing the economic and technological benefits these facilities bring. Data centers not only create jobs and stimulate local economies but also enhance technological infrastructure, supporting advancements in AI and related fields.​

Challenges to the Electricity Grid

However, the energy demands of AI data centers pose significant challenges to Canada's electricity grid, mirroring the power challenge for utilities seen in the U.S., as demand rises. The North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC) has raised concerns about the growing electricity consumption driven by AI, noting that the current power generation capacity may struggle to meet this increasing demand, while grids are increasingly exposed to harsh weather conditions that threaten reliability as well. This situation could lead to reliability issues, including potential blackouts during peak demand periods, jeopardizing both economic activities and the progress of AI initiatives.​

Strategic Integration Approaches

To effectively integrate AI data centers into Canada's electricity grids, a multifaceted approach is essential:

  1. Diversifying Energy Sources: Relying solely on traditional energy sources may not suffice to meet the heightened demands of AI data centers. Incorporating renewable energy sources, such as wind, solar, and hydroelectric power, can provide sustainable alternatives. For instance, Alberta has emerged as a proactive player in supporting AI-enabled data centers, with the TransAlta data centre agreement expected to advance this momentum, leveraging its renewable energy potential to attract such investments.
     

  2. Implementing Energy Storage Solutions: Integrating large-scale battery storage systems can help manage the intermittent nature of renewable energy. These systems store excess energy generated during low-demand periods, releasing it during peak times to stabilize the grid. In some communities, AI-driven grid upgrades complement storage deployments to optimize operations, which supports data center needs and community reliability.
     

  3. Enhancing Grid Infrastructure: Upgrading transmission and distribution networks is crucial to handle the increased load from AI data centers. Strategic investments in grid infrastructure can prevent bottlenecks and ensure efficient energy delivery, including exploration of macrogrids in Canada to improve regional transfers, supporting both existing and new data center operations.​
     

  4. Adopting Energy-Efficient Data Center Designs: Designing data centers with energy efficiency in mind can significantly reduce their power consumption. Innovations such as liquid cooling systems are being explored to manage the heat generated by high-density AI workloads, offering more efficient alternatives to traditional air cooling methods.

  5. Establishing Collaborative Policies: Collaboration among government entities, utility providers, and data center operators is vital to align energy policies with technological advancements. Developing regulatory frameworks that incentivize sustainable practices can guide the growth of AI data centers in harmony with grid capabilities.​
     

Integrating AI data centers into Canada's electricity grids presents both significant opportunities and challenges. By adopting a comprehensive strategy that includes diversifying energy sources, implementing advanced energy storage, enhancing grid infrastructure, promoting energy-efficient designs, and fostering collaborative policies, Canada can harness the benefits of AI while ensuring a reliable and sustainable energy future. This balanced approach will position Canada as a leader in both AI innovation and sustainable energy practices.

 

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Hydro One stock has too much political risk to recommend, Industrial Alliance says

Hydro One Avista merger faces regulatory scrutiny in Washington, Oregon, and Idaho, as political risk outweighs defensive utilities fundamentals like stable cash flow, rate base growth, EPS outlook, and a near 5% dividend yield.

 

Key Points

A planned Hydro One-Avista acquisition awaiting key state approvals amid elevated political and regulatory risk.

✅ Hold rating, $24 price target, 28.1% implied return

✅ EPS forecast: $1.27 in 2018; $1.38 in 2019

✅ Defensive utility: stable cash flow, 4-6% rate base growth

 

A seemingly positive development for Hydro One is overshadowed by ongoing political and regulatory risk, as seen after the CEO and board ouster, Industrial Alliance Securities analyst Jeremy Rosenfield says.

On October 4, staff from the Washington Utilities and Transportation Commission filed updated testimony in support of the merger of Hydro One and natural gas distributor Avista, which had previously received U.S. antitrust clearance from federal authorities.

The merger, which was announced in July of 2017 has received the green light from federal and key states, with Washington, Oregon and Idaho being exceptions, though the companies would later seek reconsideration from U.S. regulators in the process.

But Rosenfield says even though decisions from Oregon and Idaho are expected by December, there are still too many unknowns about Hydro One to recommend investors jump into the stock.

 

Hydro One stock defensive but risky

“We continue to view Hydro One as a fundamentally defensive investment, underpinned by (1) stable earnings and cash flows from its regulated utility businesses (2) healthy organic rate base and earning growth (4-6%/year through 2022) and (3) an attractive dividend (~5% yield, 70-80% target payout),” the analyst says. “In the meantime, and ahead of key regulatory approvals in the AVA transaction, we continue to see heightened political/regulatory risk as an overhand on the stock, outweighing Hydro One’s fundamentals in the near term.”

In a research update to clients today, Rosenfield maintained his “Hold” rating and one year price target of $24.00 on Hydro One, implying a return of 28.1 per cent at the time of publication.

Rosenfield thinks Hydro One will generate EPS of $1.27 per share in fiscal 2018, even though its Q2 profit plunged 23% as electricity revenue fell. He expects that number will improve to EPS of $1.38 a share the following year.

 

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