REC upbeat on solar market


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REC Stock Outlook improves as shares rise on Oslo bourse amid strong solar demand, slower polysilicon price declines, and Orkla support; Q4 strength, Q1 momentum, and Feb 9 earnings guidance buoy PV market sentiment.

 

Context and Background

Shares up 2.18% to NOK 19.67 on slower price declines, solid solar demand, and Orkla backing ahead of Feb 9 earnings.

  • Shares gain 2.18% to NOK 19.67, beat Oslo index.
  • CEO sees 2011 price drops smaller than feared.
  • Strong Q4, firm Q1 demand underpin PV outlook.

 

Norwegian solar equipment maker REC said demand for its products was strong and its key owner made clear REC shares were not for sale for now, lifting the stock to a three-month high.

 

Chief Executive Ole Enger added that REC still expected prices for its products to decline in 2011, but said the fall would "perhaps not be as big as previously expected."

Shares in REC were up 2.18 percent at 19.67 crowns — the highest level since October 11 as European renewables see a green dawn across markets, and outperforming a 0.5 percent rise in the Oslo bourse's index.

"As far as the market is concerned, we have seen a very strong Q4 and demand has continued in Q1 as renewable demand returns across the industry," Enger told a renewable energy conference on Oslo.

Einar Kilde Evensen, a DnB NOR markets analyst, said Enger's "confident statements" helped lift REC shares, as sector peers like Conergy returned to profit during the period.

"I am happy to hear, as are investors, that prices are falling at a slightly slower rate than some had expected, even as solar gloom overshadows peers in Germany," said Evensen. "Mr. Enger is a very cautious man, so I think it's fair to believe him."

The latest stock price rise follows a 4.5 percent hike after Norwegian conglomerate Orkla, which owns 40 percent of REC, agreed to sell the silicon operations of its Elkem unit to China National BlueStar for $2 billion.

Analysts said the Elkem deal removes pressure on Orkla to sell its REC holding to relieve debt. Orkla board chairman Stein Erik Hagen said REC "is no longer on our sale list," newspaper VG reported.

Orkla's CEO told Reuters that REC's share price was too low to sell and that it would develop the solar company over the short-term.

REC said in October it expected strong demand in late 2010 and early 2011, with global demand for solar energy expected to range from 14 to 16 gigawatts in 2011 as solar sales are set to soar worldwide this year — roughly the same as REC's view for 2010 global demand of 15 GW.

REC is due to report fourth-quarter earnings on February 9.

 

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