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U.S. Coal Power Decline reflects EPA regulations, cheap natural gas, shale gas, environmental litigation, and financing risks, spurring plant cancellations, retirements, and stricter permits using best available control technology for utilities nationwide.
Breaking Down the Details
Cheap gas and EPA rules shrink coal power, halting new builds and speeding retirements as financing and lawsuits bite.
- Cheap shale gas undercuts coal generation economics
- EPA BACT permits for 75,000 tons CO2/yr emitters
- Banks and insurers increasingly avoid coal projects
The headline news for the coal industry in 2010 was what didn’t happen: Construction did not begin on a single new coal-fired power plant in the United States for the second straight year.
This in a nation where a fleet of coal-fired plants generates nearly half the electricity used.
But a combination of low natural gas prices, shale gas discoveries, the economic slowdown and litigation by environmental groups, along with environmental campaign costs weighing on projects has stopped — at least for now — breaking ground on new ones.
“Coal is a dead man walkin’,” says Kevin Parker, head of asset management and a member of the executive committee at Deutsche Bank. “Banks won’t finance them. Insurance companies won’t insure them. The EPA is coming after them.... And the economics to make it clean don’t work.”
From 2000 to 2008, construction started on 20 units in 19 plants, according to Edison Electric Institute. Last year, utilities and power-generating companies began to rethink coal plant development as they dropped plans to build 38 coal plants while announcing that they would retire 48 aging, inefficient ones, according to the environmental group Sierra Club.
Although 2010 saw the collapse of climate legislation in the Senate, the Sierra Club is trumpeting such statistics, pointing to the Will County plan as a recent example, as a sign that “coal is a fuel of the past.”
The battle over coal plants could sharpen in 2011, as the Environmental Protection Agency deploys regulations to improve the efficiency — and lower the greenhouse gas emissions — of big power plants, even as coal gives way to natural gas in U.S. power generation.
The EPA now requires builders of plants big enough to emit 75,000 tons of carbon dioxide a year to use the “best available control technology” in order to obtain air permits, needed before construction. Utilities, oil refiners and other industries argue that this will add prohibitive costs, and many Republican lawmakers have vowed to handcuff the EPA.
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