Stricter installation standards urged

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Studies estimate that more than one-half of all air conditioners in U.S. homes do not perform to their rated efficiencies due to improper installation; 62 percent are not properly charged, 50 percent are oversized, and 70 percent lack proper airflow over the coil. These improperly installed systems can reduce performance by as much as 30 percent, which means homeowners are not obtaining the energy savings or comfort they expect to receive with a new system.

Homeowners arenÂ’t the only ones who suffer as a result of having their air conditioners installed improperly. Utilities must generate additional electricity to compensate for all the energy wasted through improper installations.

For these reasons, EPAÂ’s Energy Star program decided to utilize the Air Conditioning Contractors of America (ACCA) Quality Installation Specification to start the HVAC Quality Installation (QI) program.

The goal of the program is to improve current HVAC installation practices, to deliver greater energy efficiency to consumers, as well as to reduce peak loads for utilities. ACCAÂ’s ANSI-recognized HVAC Quality Installation Specification establishes the characteristics of a quality installation, as well as the acceptable procedures and documentation to demonstrate compliance. The new EPA Energy Star HVAC QI program already has one utility partner and others that are interested in implementing it.

HVAC product standards have increased over the years, but installation issues are keeping those products from delivering their rated performance, said Ted Leopkey, who oversees the Energy Star HVAC QI program. “Improper airflow, oversized systems, incorrect charge — all of these issues chip away at performance. We thought we could use the Energy Star brand to help contractors who provide QI with another way to differentiate their businesses and raise the bar of in-field practices.”

To that end, EPA conducted a pilot program from May through September 2007, with two utilities and a select group of contractors to see if using ACCAÂ’s QI Specification would reduce installation problems. The program focused on five areas, including proper sizing of equipment and component matching; ensuring the correct refrigerant charge; ensuring adequate airflow to match refrigerant capacity; sealing ducts to minimize leaks; and verifying QI installation in the field.

Dallas-based Electric Delivery Co. (Oncor) participated in EPAÂ’s pilot program for the QI Specification. ItÂ’s also the first utility in the country to roll out the program for its customers. The program is a good fit, said Garrey Prcin, senior program manager for Oncor, because it ensures that customers receive quality installations and lower energy costs while reducing the utilityÂ’s load and offsetting the cost of new transmission and distribution lines and generation.

In OncorÂ’s program, the two Energy Star QI incentives (one for 14 SEER-and-higher equipment and one for additional work that needs to be performed to bring the installation in line with EPAÂ’s QI guidelines) will be paid to participating contractors.

“We can’t pay incentives directly to the customer,” said Prcin. “Our programs require that incentives have to be paid to a service provider, which is the contractor. We hope the contractor will use some of the incentives to help offset the increased installation cost.”

A third party will verify load calculations and other documentation for every system installed under the Energy Star HVAC QI program, but not every installation will need onsite verification. When contractors first sign onto the Oncor program, more of their installations will be verified onsite. The rate of onsite verification will decrease over time, as contractors prove they are installing systems correctly and meet the QI requirements.

If the third-party verifier finds a problem with an installation, the contractor is notified and together, they work to correct that problem. “Normally the ducts are pretested, and the customer knows ahead of time if there’s going to be an additional cost. If something comes up during onsite verification that doesn’t meet qualifications, everybody works together to get that squared away,” said Prcin.

So far, five contractors have signed up with Oncor’s Energy Star HVAC QI program, and those companies have taken the necessary utility-sponsored classes on load calculations, duct sizing, and airflow testing. “These contractors understand the need for this program, and they want to take the opportunity to go beyond selling just the box,” noted Prcin.

OncorÂ’s program has gotten off to a bit of a slow start, but that may be due more to the weather than acceptance by local contractors. Hot summer temperatures in Dallas this year meant that some contractors may not have been taking the extra time to qualify installations under the Energy Star HVAC QI program. Homeowners with no air conditioning are more concerned with obtaining immediate cooling, rather than making sure their ductwork meets QI guidelines.

Prcin believes that once the weather cools down, participating contractors will go back and verify at least some of those systems installed during the summer. “Our contractors anticipate having 200 units installed under the program this year, and those will be good, quality installs.

“This program isn’t going to be a fit for every contractor out there. We’re looking for contractors who want to go beyond just a changeout — we want those who are interested in building science.”

Southern California Edison (SCE) also participated in EPA’s pilot program, and this utility will be rolling out its own Energy Star HVAC QI program next year. The reason why SCE decided to jump on board is simple, said Paul Kyllo, HVAC program manager, SCE. “If you look at California, 35 percent of our peak load is due to air conditioning, and that equates to about 19 megawatts. We have to have the infrastructure in place to service that load, and if that load is being operated more inefficiently than it should be, we have to generate power just for inefficiency.”

Contributing to that inefficiency is a range of improperly installed cooling systems, including homes that have significant duct leakage (at the extreme end, one system was recently tested at more than 60 percent total leakage), or systems that are oversized, often by a ton or more. Kyllo noted he has also seen many improperly charged systems in the field, and that affects performance as well. HeÂ’s hoping that the new QI program will dramatically improve the quality of cooling installations in the area.

Like Oncor, SCE’s program will not be mandatory. However, starting in 2009, the Energy Star HVAC QI program will be a requirement for rebate and consumer financing programs. “This is going to be difficult,” said Kyllo. “It will be a hard transition. In the past, we just gave rebates for the equipment, and there weren’t any requirements for the installation. It’s going to be a change in mindset for both the customer and the contractor.”

Once the California Public Utilities Commission approves SCEÂ’s programs for next year, the utility will start offering training programs for contractors, so they can become familiar with Energy StarÂ’s HVAC QI guidelines. Contractors will have to obtain training on the various aspects of the QI guidelines, including load calculations, refrigerant charge, and airflow, in order to be a preferred provider for SCE. As with Oncor, a third-party entity will verify documentation on all installations, we well as performing onsite verifications.

Advertising will explain to customers that in order to qualify for SCE’s programs, their newly installed cooling systems will have to meet the QI guidelines. Customers may still be able to qualify for utility rebates even if they don’t use a preferred provider from SCE. “We will need to come up with a process to review those systems installed by nonpreferred contractors,” said Kyllo. “We want to reward those contractors who install good systems and weed out those who are not installing properly.”

Getting customers to appreciate — and pay for — a quality installation will also require some work, said Kyllo. “Right now, customers usually want the cheapest, fastest system they can get installed. Until customers demand better quality, many contractors won’t be supporting it. One of our biggest issues will be to get customers to value a properly installed system. Then contractors will see it’s worth the extra time to make sure the system is designed and installed correctly. It’s going to be a hard process.”

Ray Isaac, chairman of the ACCA board of directors, noted that there is a strong interest in ensuring that HVAC systems are installed correctly, because about 40 percent of a home’s utility expense is spent on heating and cooling. “The ACCA QI Standard and QI Verification Protocols will provide the opportunity to look at the complete HVAC system installation and ensure it is functioning as it should.”

When an HVAC system operates as it should, all parties benefit, stated Leopkey. “Contractors experience fewer callbacks, utilities can reduce their peak loads, and customers pay lower utility bills, while getting better comfort from a system that may last longer.” He added that the pilot program was very successful, which is why it has now been rolled out to program partners (utilities), so they can develop successful ways to improve and verify the quality of central air conditioner and air-source heat pump installations.

The Energy Star HVAC QI program is voluntary, and utilities have the flexibility to develop and implement their programs so that they best fit their management structures and regional settings. This could mean that some utilities may choose to withhold a customer rebate if the QI Specification is not followed, while others may opt to give an incentive to contractors who participate in the program.

Utilities participating in the Energy Star HVAC QI program will need to adhere to basic requirements, such as following installation guidelines, providing training to contractors, and performing system testing to ensure compliance (usually paid for by the utility).

In this program, contractors are not allowed to self certify that they’ve met the program’s guidelines. Those testing the systems — called verifiers — must be independent and objective individuals who possess certain skill sets and appropriate licensing. “The verifier’s role in a program like this is critical to the program’s success,” said Richard Dean, chairman of ACCA’s development committee for QI Verification Protocols.

Finding enough people who can verify HVAC systems is a challenge that must be overcome, especially as more utilities sign onto the EPA program.

“We’re currently working with ACCA, as well as the OEMs and contractors on who should be verifying the systems and what skill sets they need,” said Leopkey. “With the program ramping up, these people are going to be in more demand. There may also be areas in which this type of service doesn’t exist, and that’s another barrier we’re going to have to knock down. Ultimately, we will be working with our partners to help create this market.”

In-field verification of a newly installed system should take place as soon as possible after startup, so customers wonÂ’t be inconvenienced by repeated visits to their home. Energy StarÂ’s HVAC QI program suggests that the testing be finished within five days of installation; it is recommended that the installing contractor be there during verification to learn of any problems that may arise.

If a problem is detected, the contractor is informed, and he or she has the opportunity to make the corrections necessary so the system meets the guidelines. Some fixes will be easy, such as adding more refrigerant to a system; others, such as replacing ductwork or resizing the system, will be more costly. The question of who pays to correct an installation will definitely need to be addressed in some situations.

“Obviously if a system fails on sizing, that’s not something that can be easily remedied, and we wouldn’t expect the contractor to fix that,” said Leopkey. “If that happens, then the consumer won’t receive the certificate saying they meet Energy Star guidelines. Adding ductwork can also be an expensive fix, and that would be an additional service the consumer would pay for. I would expect that the customer and the contractor would work it out.”

The bottom line, said Leopkey, is that contractors participating in the Energy Star HVAC QI program must act in good faith to ensure that each installation meets the requirements within their abilities. “We want our program partners to create an agreement for contractors who are participating in the program, so they understand what’s required of them. We want to set up the contractors for success.”

While it makes sense that utilities in two of the hottest states in the country — Texas and California — would be interested in Energy Star’s HVAC QI program, chances are good that it will start appearing in other areas as well. Leopkey noted that more than a dozen utilities have contacted him for information on how to implement the program, so performance testing may just be coming to a utility near you.

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Economic Crossroads: Bank Earnings, EV Tariffs, and Algoma Steel

Canada Economic Crossroads highlights bank earnings trends, interest rates, loan delinquencies, EV tariffs on Chinese imports, domestic manufacturing, Algoma Steel decarbonization, sustainability, and housing market risks shaping growth, investment, consumer prices, and climate policy.

 

Key Points

An overview of how bank earnings, EV tariffs, and Algoma Steel's transition shape Canada's economy.

✅ Higher rates lift margins but raise delinquencies and housing risks

✅ EV tariffs aid domestic makers but pressure consumer prices

✅ Algoma invests to decarbonize, boosting efficiency and compliance

 

In a complex economic landscape, recent developments have brought attention to several pivotal issues affecting Canada's business sector. The Globe and Mail’s latest report delves into three major topics: the latest bank earnings, the implications of new tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles (EVs), and Algoma Steel’s strategic maneuvers. These factors collectively paint a picture of the challenges and opportunities facing Canada's economy.

Bank Earnings Reflect Economic Uncertainty

The recent financial reports from major Canadian banks have revealed a mixed picture of the nation’s economic health. As the Globe and Mail reports, earnings results show robust performances in some areas while highlighting growing concerns in others. Banks have generally posted strong quarterly results, buoyed by higher interest rates which have improved their net interest margins. This uptick is largely attributed to the central bank's monetary policies aimed at combating inflation and stabilizing the economy.

However, the positive earnings are tempered by underlying economic uncertainties. Rising loan delinquencies and a slowing housing market are areas of concern. Increased interest rates, while beneficial for banks’ margins, have also led to higher borrowing costs for consumers and businesses. This dynamic has the potential to impact overall economic growth and consumer confidence.

Tariffs on Chinese EVs: A Strategic Shift

Another significant development is the imposition of new tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles. This move is part of a broader strategy to protect domestic automotive industries and address trade imbalances, aligning with public support for tariffs in key sectors. The tariffs are expected to increase the cost of Chinese EVs in Canada, which could have several implications for the market.

On one hand, the tariffs might provide a temporary boost to Canadian and North American manufacturers by reducing competition from lower-priced Chinese imports. This protectionist measure could encourage investments in local production and innovation, mirroring tariff threats boosting support for energy projects in other sectors. However, the increased cost of Chinese EVs may also lead to higher prices for consumers, potentially slowing the adoption of electric vehicles—a critical goal in Canada’s climate strategy.

The tariffs come at a time when the Canadian government is keen on accelerating the transition to electric mobility to meet its environmental targets, even as a critical crunch in electrical supply raises questions about grid readiness. Balancing the protection of domestic industries with the broader goal of reducing emissions will be a significant challenge moving forward.

Algoma Steel’s Strategic Evolution

In the steel industry, Algoma Steel has been making headlines with its strategic initiatives aimed at transforming its operations, in a broader shift toward clean grids and industrial decarbonization. The Globe and Mail highlights Algoma Steel's efforts to modernize its production processes and shift towards more sustainable practices. This includes significant investments in technology and infrastructure to enhance production efficiency and reduce environmental impact.

Algoma's focus on reducing carbon emissions aligns with broader industry trends towards sustainability. The company’s efforts are part of a larger push within the steel sector to address climate change and meet regulatory requirements. As one of Canada’s leading steel producers, Algoma’s actions could set a precedent for the industry, showcasing how traditional manufacturing sectors can adapt to evolving environmental standards.

Implications and Future Outlook

The interplay of these developments reflects a period of significant transition for Canada's economy, shaped in part by U.S. policy where Biden is seen as better for Canada's energy sector by some analysts. For banks, the challenge will be to navigate the balance between profitability and potential risks from a changing economic environment. The new tariffs on Chinese EVs represent a strategic shift with mixed implications for the automotive market, potentially influencing both domestic production and consumer prices. Meanwhile, Algoma Steel’s push towards sustainability could serve as a model for other industries seeking to align with environmental goals.

As these issues unfold, stakeholders across sectors will need to stay informed and adaptable. For policymakers, the challenge will be to support domestic industries while fostering innovation and sustainability, including the dilemma over electricity rates and innovation they must weigh. For businesses, the focus will be on navigating financial pressures and leveraging opportunities for growth. Consumers, in turn, will face the impact of these developments in their daily lives, from the cost of borrowing to the price of electric vehicles.

In summary, Canada’s current economic landscape is characterized by a blend of financial resilience, strategic adjustments, and evolving industry practices, amid policy volatility such as a tariff threat delaying Quebec's green energy bill earlier this year. As the country navigates these crossroads, the outcomes of these developments will play a crucial role in shaping the future economic environment.

 

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Canadian Manufacturers and Exporters Congratulates the Ontario Government for Taking Steps to Reduce Electricity Prices

Ontario Global Adjustment Deferral offers COVID-19 electricity bill relief to industrial and commercial consumers not on the RPP, aligning GA to March levels for Class A and Class B manufacturers to improve cash flow.

 

Key Points

A temporary GA deferral easing electricity costs for Ontario industrial and commercial users not on the RPP.

✅ Sets Class B GA at $115/MWh; Class A gets equal percentage cut.

✅ Applies April-June 2020; automatic bill adjustments and credits.

✅ Deferred charges repaid over 12 months starting January 2021.

 

Manufacturers welcome the Government of Ontario's decision to defer a portion of Global Adjustment (GA) charges as part of support for industrial and commercial electricity consumers that do not participate in the Regulated Price Plan.

"Manufacturers are pleased the government listened to Canadian Manufacturers & Exporters (CME) member recommendations and is taking action to reduce Ontario electricity bills immediately," said Dennis Darby, President & CEO of CME.

"The majority of manufacturers have identified cash flow as their top concern during the crisis, "added Darby. "The GA system would have caused a nearly $2 billion cost surge to Ontario manufacturers this year. This new initiative by the government is on top of the billions in support already provided to help manufacturers weather this unprecedented storm, while other provinces accelerate British Columbia's clean energy shift to drive long-term competitiveness. All these measures are a great start in helping businesses of all sizes stay afloat during the crisis and, keeping Ontarians employed."

"We call on the Ontario government to continue to consider the impact of electricity costs on the manufacturing sector, even after the COVID-19 crisis is resolved," stated Darby. "High prices are putting Ontario manufacturers at a significant competitive disadvantage and, discourages investments." A recent report from London Economics International (LEI) found that when compared to jurisdictions with similar manufacturing industries, Ontario's electricity prices can be up to 75% more expensive, underscoring the importance of planning for Toronto's growing electricity needs to maintain affordability.

To provide companies with temporary immediate relief on their electricity bills, the Ontario government is deferring a portion of Global Adjustment (GA) charges for industrial and commercial electricity consumers that do not participate in the Regulated Price Plan (RPP), starting from April 2020, as some regions saw reduced electricity demand from widespread remote work during the pandemic. The GA rate for smaller industrial and commercial consumers (i.e., Class B) has been set at $115 per megawatt-hour, which is roughly in line with the March 2020 value. Large industrial and commercial consumers (i.e., Class A) will receive the same percentage reduction in GA charges as Class B consumers.

The Ontario government intends to keep this relief in place through the end of June 2020, alongside investments like smart grid technology in Sault Ste. Marie to support reliability, subject to necessary extensions and approvals to implement this initiative.

Industrial and commercial electricity consumers will automatically see this relief reflected on their bills. Consumers who have already received their April bill should see an adjustment on a future bill.

Related initiatives include developing cyber standards for electricity sector IoT devices to strengthen system security.

The government intends to bring forward subsequent amendments that would, if approved, recover the deferred GA charges (excluding interest) from industrial and commercial electricity consumers, as Toronto prepares for a surge in electricity demand amid continued growth, over a 12-month period beginning in January 2021.

 

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Iran supplying 40% of Iraq’s need for electricity

Iran Electricity Exports to Iraq address power shortages and blackouts, supplying 1,200-1,500 MW and gas for 2,500 MW, amid sanctions, aging grid losses, rising peak demand, and TAVANIR plans to expand cross-border energy capacity.

 

Key Points

Energy flows from Iran supply Iraq with 1,200-1,500 MW plus gas yielding 2,500 MW, easing shortages and blackouts.

✅ 1,200-1,500 MW direct power; gas adds 2,500 MW generation

✅ Iraq exempt on Iranian gas, but faces US pressure

✅ Aging grid loses 25%; $30B upgrades needed

 

“Iran exports 1,200 megawatts to 1,500 megawatts of electricity to Iraq per day, reflecting broader regional power trade dynamics, as Iraq is dealing with severe power shortages and frequent blackouts,” Hamid Hosseini said.

As he added, Iran also exports 37 million to 38 million cubic meters of gas to the country, much of it used in combined-cycle power plants to save energy and boost generation.

On September 11, Iraq’s electricity minister, Luay al Khateeb, said the country needs Iranian gas to generate electricity for the next three or four years, as energy cooperation discussions continue between Baghdad and Tehran.

Iraq was exempted from sanctions concerning Iranian gas imports; however, the U.S. has been pressing all countries to stop trading with Tehran.

Iraq's population has been protesting to authorities over power cuts. Iran exports 1,200 megawatts of direct power supplies and its gas is converted into 2,500 MW of electricity. According to al Khateeb, the current capacity is 18,000 MW, with peak demand of 25,000 MW possible during the hot summer months when consumption surges, a figure that rises every year.

Any upgrades would need investment of at least $30 billion, with grid rehabilitation efforts underway to modernize infrastructure, as the grid is 50 years old and loses 25 percent of its capacity due to Isis attacks.

In late July, Managing Director of Gharb (West) Regional Electricity Company Ali Asadi said Iran has high capacity and potential to export electricity up to twofold of the current capacity to neighboring Iraq, as it eyes transmitting electricity to Europe to serve as a regional hub as well.

He pointed to the new strategy of Iran Power Generation, Transmission & Distribution Management Company (TAVANIR) for increasing electricity export to neighboring Iraq and reiterated, “the country enjoys high potential to export 1,200 megawatts electricity to neighboring Iraq,” while Iraq is also exploring nuclear power plants to tackle electricity shortages.

 

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Venezuela: Electricity Recovery Continues as US Withdraws Diplomatic Staff

Venezuela Power Outage cripples the national grid after a massive blackout; alleged cyber attacks at Guri Dam and Caracas, damaged transmission lines, CORPOELEC restoration, looting, water shortages, and sanctions pressure compound recovery.

 

Key Points

A March 2019 blackout crippling Venezuela's grid amid alleged cyber attacks, equipment failures, and slow restoration.

✅ Power restored partially after 96 hours across all states

✅ Alleged cyber attacks at Guri Dam and Caracas systems

✅ CORPOELEC urges reduced load during grid stabilization

 

Venezuelan authorities continue working to bring back online the electric grid following a massive outage that started on Thursday, March 7.

According to on-the-ground testimonies and official sources, power finally began to reach Venezuela’s western states, including Merida and Zulia, on Monday night, around 96 hours after the blackout started. Electricity has now been restored at least in some areas of every state, with authorities urging citizens, as seen in Ukraine's efforts to keep lights on during crisis, to avoid using heavy usage devices while efforts to restore the whole grid continue.

President Nicolas Maduro gave a televised address on Tuesday evening, offering more details about the alleged attack against the country’s electrical infrastructure. According to Maduro, both the computerized system in the Guri Dam, on Thursday afternoon, and the central electrical “brain” in Caracas, on Saturday morning, suffered cyber attacks, while recovery was delayed by physical attacks against transmission lines and electrical substations, a pattern seen in power outages in western Ukraine as well.

“The recovery has been a miracle by CORPOELEC (electricity) workers” he said, vowing that a “battle” had been won.

Maduro claimed that the attacks were directed from Chicago and Houston and that more evidence would be presented soon. The Venezuelan president had announced on Monday that two arrests were made in connection to alleged acts of sabotage against the communications system in the Guri Dam.

Venezuela’s electrical grid has suffered from poor maintenance and sabotage in recent years, with infrastructure strained by under-investment and Washington’s economic sanctions further compounding difficulties, with parallels to electricity inequality in California highlighting broader systemic challenges, though causes differ.

The extended power outage saw episodes of lootings take place, especially in the Zulia capital of Maracaibo. Food warehouses, supermarkets and a shopping mall were targeted according to reports and footage on social media.

Isolated episodes of protests and lootings were also reported in other cities, including some sectors of Caracas. A video spread on social media appeared to show a violent confrontation in the eastern city of Maturin in which a National Guardsman was shot dead.

While electricity has been gradually restored, public transportation and other services have yet to be reactivated, a contrast with U.S. grid resilience during COVID-19 where power systems remained stable, with the government suspending work and school activities until Wednesday.

In Caracas, attention has now turned to water. Shortages started to be felt after the water pumping system in the nearby Tuy valley was shut down amid the electricity blackout, underscoring that electricity is civilization in conflict zones, as interdependent systems cascade. Authorities announced on Tuesday afternoon that the system was due to resume supplying water to the capital metropolitan region.

Some communities protested the lack of water on Monday and long queues formed at water distribution points, with local authorities looking to send water tanks to supply communities and guarantee the normal functioning of hospitals.

The Venezuelan government has yet to release any information concerning casualties in hospitals, with NGO Doctors for Health reporting 24 dead as of Monday night following alleged contact with multiple hospitals. Higher figures, including claims of 80 newborns dead in Maracaibo, have been denied by local sources.

Self-proclaimed “Interim President” Juan Guaido has blamed the electricity crisis on government mismanagement and corruption, dismissing the government’s cyber attack thesis on the grounds that the system is analog, and attributing the national outage to a lack of qualified personnel needed to reactivate the grid. However, these claims have been called into question by people with knowledge of the system.

Guaido called for street protests on Tuesday afternoon which saw small groups momentarily take to streets in Caracas and other cities, or banging pots and pans from windows.

The opposition-controlled National Assembly, which has been in contempt of court since 2016, approved a decree on Monday declaring a state of “national alarm,” blaming the government for the current crisis and issuing instructions for public officials and security forces.

Likewise on Tuesday, Venezuelan Attorney General Tarek William Saab announced that an investigation was being opened against Guaido regarding his alleged responsibility for the recent power outage. Saab explained that this investigation would add to the previous one, opened on January 29, as well as determine responsibilities in instigating violence.

 

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Kenney holds the power as electricity sector faces profound change

Alberta Electricity Market Reform reshapes policy under the UCP, weighing a capacity market versus energy-only design, AESO reliability rules, renewables targets, coal phase-out, carbon pricing, consumer rates, and investment certainty before AUC decisions.

 

Key Points

Alberta Electricity Market Reform is the UCP plan to reassess capacity vs energy-only, renewables, and carbon pricing.

✅ Reviews capacity market timeline and AESO procurement

✅ Alters subsidies for renewables; slows wind and solar growth

✅ Adjusts industrial carbon levy; audits Balancing Pool losses

 

Hearings kicked off this week into the future of the province’s electricity market design, amid an electricity market reshuffle pledged by the province, but a high-stakes decision about the industry’s fate — affecting billions of dollars in investment and consumer costs — won’t be made inside the meeting room of the Alberta Utilities Commission.

Instead, it will take place in the office of Jason Kenney, as the incoming premier prepares to pivot away from the seismic reforms to Alberta’s electricity sector introduced by the Notley government.

The United Conservative Party has promised to adopt market-based policies, reflecting changes to how Alberta produces and pays for power, that will reset how the sector operates, from its approach to renewable energy and carbon pricing to re-evaluating the planned transition to an electricity “capacity market.”

“Every ball in electricity is up in the air right now,” Vittoria Bellissimo, of the Industrial Power Consumers Association of Alberta, said Tuesday during a break in the commission hearings.

Industry players are uncertain how quickly the UCP will change direction on power policies, but there’s little doubt Kenney’s government will take a strikingly different approach to the sector that keeps the lights on in Alberta.

“There’s some things they are going to change that are going to impact the electricity industry significantly,” said Duane Reid-Carlson, chief executive of consultancy EDC Associates.

“But I don’t think it’s going to be upheaval. I think the new government will proceed with caution because electricity is the foundation of our economy.”

Alberta’s electricity market has been turned on its head in recent years due to the recession, power prices dropping to near two-decade lows and several transformative policies initiated by the NDP.

The Notley government’s climate plan included an accelerated phase-out of all coal-fired generation and set targets for more renewable energy.

The most significant, but least-understood, move has been the planned shift to an electricity capacity market in 2021.

Under the strategy, generators will no longer solely be paid for the power produced and sold into the market; they will also receive payments for having electricity capacity available to the grid on demand.

The change was recommended by the Alberta Electric System Operator (AESO) as a way to reduce price volatility and provide more reliability than the current energy-only market, which some argue needs more competition to deliver better outcomes.

The independent system operator and industry officials have spent more than two years planning the transition since the switch was announced in late 2016. Proposed rules for the new system, outlining market changes, are now being discussed at the Alberta Utilities Commission hearings.

However, there is no ironclad guarantee the system remake will go ahead following the UCP’s election victory last week — amid calls to scrap the overhaul from a Calgary retailer — it plans to study the issue further — while other substantive electricity changes are already in store.

The UCP has promised to end “costly subsidies” to renewable energy developments and abandon the NDP’s pledge to have such energy sources make up 30 per cent of all power generation by 2030.

It will remove the planned phase-out of coal-fired electricity generation, although federal regulations for a 2030 prohibition remain in place.

It will also ask the auditor general to conduct a special audit of the massive losses sustained by the province’s Balancing Pool due to power purchase arrangements being handed back to the agency three years ago.

While Kenney has pledged to cancel the provincewide carbon tax, a levy on large industrial greenhouse gas emitters (such has power plants) will still be charged, although at a reduced rate of $20 a tonne.

The biggest unknown remains the power market’s structure, which underpins how the entire system operates.

The UCP has promised to consult on the shift to the capacity market and report back to Albertans within 90 days.

The complex issue may sound like an eye-glazer, but it will have a profound effect on industry investment, as well as how much consumers pay on their monthly electricity bills.

A number of industry players worry the capacity market will lead AESO to procure more power than is necessary, foisting unnecessary costs onto all Albertans.

“I still have concerns for what the impact on consumers is going to be,” said energy market consultant Sheldon Fulton. “I’d love to see the capacity market go away.”

An analysis by EDC Associates found the transition to a capacity market will procure additional electricity before it’s needed, requiring consumers to pay up to 40 per cent more — an extra $1.4 billion — for power in 2021-22 than under the existing market structure.

“I don’t think there’s any prejudged outcome,” said Blake Shaffer, former head trader at TransAlta Corp. and a fellow-in-residence at the C.D. Howe Institute.

“But it really matters about getting this right.”

Evan Bahry, executive director of the Independent Power Producers Society of Alberta, said the fact the UCP’s review was confined to just 90 days is helpful, as it avoids throwing the entire industry into a prolonged period of uncertainty.

As for the greening of Alberta’s power grid, amid growing attention to clean grids and storage, the demise of the NDP’s Renewable Electricity Program will likely slow down the rapid pace of wind and solar development. But it’s unlikely to stop the growth trend as costs continue to fall for such developments.

“Renewables over the last number of years have evolved to the point that they make sense on a subsidy-free basis,” said Dan Balaban, CEO of Greengate Power Corp., which has developed 480 MW of wind power in Alberta and Ontario.

“There is a path to clean electricity ahead.”

Chris Varcoe is a Calgary Herald columnist.

 

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Ontario hydro rates set to increase Nov. 1, Ontario Energy Board says

Ontario Electricity Rebate clarifies hydro rates as OEB aligns bills with inflation, shows true cost per kilowatt hour, and replaces Fair Hydro Plan; transparent on-bill credit offsets increases tied to nuclear refurbishment and supply costs.

 

Key Points

A line-item credit on Ontario hydro bills that offsets higher electricity costs and reflects OEB-set rates.

✅ Starts Nov. 1 with rates in line with inflation

✅ Shows true per-kWh cost plus separate rebate line

✅ Driven by nuclear refurbishment and supply costs

 

The Ontario Energy Board says electricity rate changes for households and small businesses will be going up starting next week.

The agency says rates are scheduled to increased by about $1.99 or nearly 2% for a typical residential customer who uses 700 kilowatt hours per month.

The provincial government said in March it would continue to subsidize hydro rates, through legislation to lower rates, and hold any increases to the rate of inflation.

The OEB says the new rates, which the board says are “in line” with inflation, will take effect Nov. 1 as changes for electricity consumers roll out and could be noticed on bills within a few weeks of that date.

Prices are increasing partly due to government legislation aimed at reflecting the actual cost of supply on bills, and partly due to the refurbishment of nuclear facilities, contributing to higher hydro bills for some consumers.

So, effective November 1, Ontario electricity bills will show the true cost of power, after a period of a fixed COVID-19 hydro rate, and will include the new Ontario Electricity Rebate.

Previously the electricity rebate was concealed within the price-per-kilowatt-hour line item on electricity statements, prompting Hydro One bill redesign discussions to improve clarity. This meant customers could not see how much the government rebate was reducing their monthly costs, and bills did not display the true cost of electricity used.

"People deserve facts and accountability, especially when it comes to hydro costs," said Energy Minister Rickford.

The new Ontario Electricity Rebate will appear as a transparent on-bill line item and will replace the former government's Fair Hydro Plan says a government news release. This change comes in response to the Auditor General's special report on the former government's Fair Hydro Plan which revealed that "the government created a needlessly complex accounting/financing structure for the electricity rate reduction in order to avoid showing a deficit or an increase in net debt."

"The Electricity Distributors Association commends the government's commitment to making Ontario's electricity bills more transparent," said Teresa Sarkesian, President of the Electricity Distributors Association. "As the part of our electricity system that is closest to customers, local hydro utilities appreciated the opportunity to work with the government on implementing this important initiative. We worked to ensure that customers who receive their electricity bill will have a clear understanding of the true cost of power and the amount of their on-bill rebate. Local hydro utilities are focused on making electricity more affordable, reducing red tape, and providing customers with a modern and reliable electricity system that works for them."

The average customer will see the electricity line on their bill rise, showing the real cost per kilowatt hour. The new Ontario Electricity Rebate will compensate for that rise, and will be displayed as a separate line item on hydro bills. The average residential bill will rise in line with the rate of inflation.

 

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